|Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50
Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions
(Sept. 18, 2014) The OHSAA has reclassified several Columbus schools, leading
to regional shifts not only for them, but to a few others, in order to balance the
number of teams in each region. These changes will show up next week,
along with a forfeit (Whetstone to Columbus South, in week 1). Thanks to
Joe Eitel for making me aware of the above. Additionally, I have corrected
an error on the rankings page, in which the Fantastic 50 rankings listed
the top 50 teams in Division I, rather than the overall top 50 as intended.
Please let me know about schedule errors, conference realignments, etc.
Playoff projections this early in the season are very preliminary, and shouldn't
be taken too seriously. The lack of information about team strengths, and the
number of games against out-of-state teams. The computer overestimates the
quality of non-OHSAA "Harbin cow" opponents that some teams schedule.
For example, it predicts that St. Ignatius will split against its two Canadian
opponents, even though history says the Wildcats likely will win both easily.
Published papers on the mathematical methodology
Fantastic 50 Rankings Playoff Projections
2011 newspaper articles related to the Fantastic 50 Canton Repository
(Wooster) Daily Record
Please support your local high school by going out to a game!
The content of this website is developed and published by Drew Pasteur, a math professor at the College of Wooster, in Wooster, Ohio, and an alumnus (Ph.D. in applied mathematics, 2008) of N.C. State University. This site is neither affiliated with, nor endorsed by, either of these institutions. Media outlets (print, broadcast, and online) are welcome to use any content from this site, provided that they credit the source. If you have questions or comments about the site, or corrections to scores, you can reach Drew by sending an e-mail to dpasteur AT gmail DOT com.