Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#706 Cleveland Lincoln West (0-5) 55.5

Updated 22-Sep-2018 10:02PM
Week 5 in progress
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#107 of 107 in Division III
#26 of 26 in Region 10
Eitel team page
Region 10 projections
Region 10 playoff probabilities
Region 10 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 23 (W1) L 6-41 A #555 Parma (1-4 D2 R6), pick: L by 33 (94%)
Aug 30 (W2) L 12-70 A #526 Parma Normandy (3-2 D2 R6), pick: L by 25 (90%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 14-46 A #662 Brooklyn (2-3 D6 R21), pick: L by 2 (55%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 6-54 H #627 Cleveland John Adams (1-3 D2 R5), pick: L by 20 (86%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 0-37 A #438 Cleveland John Marshall (4-1 D1 R1), pick: L by 34 (97%)
Sep 28 (W6) H #652 Cleveland John F Kennedy (1-4 D3 R10), pick: L by 16 (83%)
Oct 05 (W7) A #644 Cleveland East Technical (0-4 D3 R10), pick: L by 19 (87%)
Oct 12 (W8) A #496 Cleveland John Hay (1-4 D3 R10), pick: L by 30 (96%)
Oct 27 (W10) A #604 Cleveland Collinwood (0-5 D3 R9), pick: L by 25 (93%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#107 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 86
Projected record 0-9
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 86)
Projected out of R10 playoffs

Win probabilities:
0W-63%, 1W-32%, 2W-5%

Best realistic scenario
2.3% WWLL 2.56 pts, out

Worst realistic scenario
63% LLLL 0.00 pts, out

Most likely other scenarios
15% WLLL 1.25 pts, out
11% LWLL 1.31 pts, out
5.8% LLLW 1.89 pts, out
(4% some other outcome)

Weekly ranking & projection history
W4: 56.1 (0-4, #709, D3 #107) out
W3: 55.1 (0-3, #709, D3 #107) out
W2: 62.0 (0-2, #695, D3 #107) out
W1: 62.2 (0-1, #695, D3 #107) out
W0: 63.8 (0-0, #696, D3 #106) out
Last year 53.5 (0-10)