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Rankings
#62 of 71 in Division 1
#15 of 18 in Region 3
Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) L 34-0 H #107 Westerville North (2-2) D1 R3, pick: W by 7 (62%), perf. rating 85
08/30 (week 2) L 41-11 A #115 Westerville South (3-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 23 (12%), perf. rating 94
09/06 (week 3) L 29-7 A #151 Bellefontaine (3-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 19 (14%), perf. rating 100
09/13 (week 4) L 24-7 A #144 Dublin Jerome (2-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 25 (6%), perf. rating 108
09/20 (week 5) H #67 Olentangy (3-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 33 (1%)
09/27 (week 6) H #34 Pickerington North (3-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/04 (week 7) A #51 Grove City (4-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/11 (week 8) H #44 Gahanna Lincoln (2-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/18 (week 9) A #451 Central Crossing (1-3) D1 R2, pick: W by 15 (82%)
10/25 (week 10) H #154 New Albany (0-4) D2 R7, pick: L by 22 (8%)
Strength of schedule
(based on all regular season games)
#33 of 71 in Division 1
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
13% (bubble if 2-8), no home game
Depending on the next game
Lose: 1.20 ( 0.00-11.40) 11% in, proj. out (#13-out), Olentangy Liberty (3-1) 79%
Based on eventual number of wins
(11%) 2W: 2.75 ( 2.45- 7.60) 56% in, proj. #16 (#13-out), Olentangy Liberty (3-1) 68%
(74%) 1W: 1.20 ( 0.60- 5.80) 8% in, proj. out (#15-out), Olentangy Liberty (3-1) 85%
(14%) 0W: 0.00 1% in, proj. out (#16-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) LLLLWW: 2.45 ( 2.45- 4.40) 41% in, proj. out (#15-out), Olentangy Liberty (3-1) 86%
(73%) LLLLWL: 1.20 ( 1.20- 1.85) 7% in, proj. out (#16-out), Olentangy Liberty (3-1) 87%
(14%) LLLLLL: 0.00 1% in, proj. out (#16-out), Olentangy Liberty (3-1) 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 106.2, #305, D1 #62), 13% (bubble if 2-8), no home game, proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 106.1, #310, D1 #63), 14% (bubble if 2-8), no home game, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 111.3, #274, D1 #60), 26% (bubble if 2-8), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 117.6, #233, D1 #58), 36% (bubble if 2-8), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 137.2, #116, D1 #45), 83% (bubble if 1-9), 36% home (maybe if 5-5), 18% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #14 at 4-6
Last season 136.3