Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#354 Geneva (3-6) 101.0

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#72 of 107 in Division III
#21 of 28 in Region 9
Eitel team page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 14-22 H #301 Madison (3-6 D2 R5), pick: L by 9 (67%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 20-49 A #129 Mogadore (8-1 D6 R21), pick: L by 17 (81%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 0-35 H #75 Kirtland (9-0 D6 R21), pick: L by 24 (90%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 31-6 A #592 Painesville Harvey (1-8 D3 R9), pick: W by 15 (80%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 16-8 A #316 Chesterland West Geauga (3-6 D4 R13), pick: L by 11 (73%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 34-14 H #375 Beachwood (6-3 D5 R17), pick: L by 2 (54%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 14-38 A #321 Pepper Pike Orange (6-3 D4 R14), pick: L by 1 (51%)
Oct 11 (W8) L 21-28 A #315 Parma Heights Holy Name (4-5 D3 R10), pick: W by 1 (53%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 6-35 H #58 Perry (8-1 D4 R13), pick: L by 25 (94%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #267 Chagrin Falls (4-5 D4 R14), pick: L by 6 (64%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#41 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 3-7
7.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R9 playoffs

Win probabilities:
3W-64%, 4W-36%

Playoff scenarios
36% W 9.55 pts, out
64% L 7.05 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 101.0 (3-6, #354, D3 #72) out
W8: 100.5 (3-5, #355, D3 #75) out
W7: 102.9 (3-4, #330, D3 #67) 1% , proj. out
W6: 106.5 (3-3, #277, D3 #56) 1% , proj. out
W5: 101.7 (2-3, #347, D3 #66) 1% , proj. out
W4: 96.9 (1-3, #405, D3 #82) 1% , proj. out
W3: 96.9 (0-3, #401, D3 #82) out
W2: 98.7 (0-2, #383, D3 #79) 1% , proj. out
W1: 97.9 (0-1, #392, D3 #83) 1% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 100.1 (0-0, #393, D3 #80) 2% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 98.6 (2-8)