Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#376 Lodi Cloverleaf (4-5) 99.2

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#78 of 107 in Division III
#22 of 28 in Region 9
Eitel team page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 24-23 A #438 Canton South (2-7 D4 R13), pick: L by 7 (64%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 38-32 H #439 La Grange Keystone (4-5 D4 R14), pick: W by 7 (64%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 0-20 A #171 Medina Buckeye (8-1 D3 R9), pick: L by 10 (70%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 35-41 H #418 Akron Coventry (3-6 D3 R9), pick: L by 3 (56%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 21-39 A #198 Norton (7-2 D3 R9), pick: L by 14 (79%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 19-34 H #181 Peninsula Woodridge (5-4 D4 R13), pick: L by 10 (72%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 48-27 A #498 Akron Springfield (2-7 D3 R9), pick: W by 3 (57%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 13-20 H #194 Ravenna (7-2 D3 R9), pick: L by 13 (79%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 34-32 A #476 Mogadore Field (1-8 D4 R13), pick: W by 7 (66%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #320 Streetsboro (4-5 D4 R13), pick: L by 3 (58%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#74 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 4-6
7.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R9 playoffs

Win probabilities:
4W-58%, 5W-42%

Playoff scenarios
42% W 9.60 pts, out
58% L 7.00 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 99.2 (4-5, #376, D3 #78) out
W8: 98.8 (3-5, #386, D3 #80) out
W7: 98.9 (3-4, #386, D3 #79) out
W6: 97.5 (2-4, #404, D3 #84) out
W5: 97.9 (2-3, #395, D3 #83) out
W4: 97.5 (2-2, #397, D3 #79) 1% , proj. out
W3: 98.6 (2-1, #389, D3 #79) 1% , proj. out
W2: 102.2 (2-0, #340, D3 #70) 7% (bubble if 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W1: 102.1 (1-0, #333, D3 #73) 13% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home, proj. out
W0: 98.7 (0-0, #411, D3 #84) 3% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 99.3 (3-7)