Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#363 Columbus Beechcroft (6-3) 100.3

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#75 of 107 in Division III
#22 of 27 in Region 11
Eitel team page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 27-10 H #615 Dayton Ponitz Tech (2-7 D3 R12), pick: W by 26 (89%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 8-33 A #167 Grove City Central Crossing (4-5 D1 R3), pick: L by 5 (59%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 6-41 H #144 Columbus Walnut Ridge (8-1 D2 R7), pick: L by 16 (80%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 7-12 H #497 Columbus Mifflin (2-7 D2 R7), pick: W by 5 (62%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 15-12 H #467 Columbus East (3-6 D4 R15), pick: W by 10 (71%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 33-0 A #582 Dayton Meadowdale (2-6 D4 R16), pick: W by 12 (76%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 30-25 A #342 Columbus Centennial (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 5 (61%)
Oct 12 (W8) W 19-0 H #536 Columbus Whetstone (3-6 D2 R7), pick: W by 14 (80%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 20-0 A #645 Columbus Linden McKinley (0-9 D4 R15), pick: W by 26 (94%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #155 Columbus Northland (7-2 D2 R7), pick: L by 18 (87%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#101 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 97
Projected record 6-4
11.29 Harbin points (divisor 97)
Projected out of R11 playoffs

Win probabilities:
6W-88%, 7W-12%

Playoff chance
1% now
1% with a win in next game, and 0% with a loss

More conditional playoff info
(based on number of wins)
7W: 15.86 (15.81-17.05) 1% in, 0% home, proj. out

Playoff scenarios
13% W 15.86 pts, 1% in (out, range #8-out)
88% L 11.29 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 100.3 (6-3, #363, D3 #75) 1% , proj. out
W8: 100.7 (5-3, #352, D3 #73) out
W7: 100.0 (4-3, #368, D3 #76) 1% , proj. out
W6: 98.2 (3-3, #392, D3 #80) 1% , proj. out
W5: 97.7 (2-3, #399, D3 #84) 1% , proj. out
W4: 97.6 (1-3, #395, D3 #78) 1% , proj. out
W3: 102.0 (1-2, #335, D3 #65) 1% , proj. out
W2: 102.5 (1-1, #335, D3 #68) 5% (need 9-1), 1% home, proj. out
W1: 109.4 (1-0, #232, D3 #47) 28% (bubble if 8-2), 9% home, proj. out
W0: 112.6 (0-0, #218, D3 #50) 38% (need 8-2), 15% home, proj. out
Last year 110.4 (5-4)