Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#342 Columbus Centennial (6-3) 102.0

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#70 of 107 in Division III
#19 of 27 in Region 11
Eitel team page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 0-27 H #274 Columbus Grandview Heights (7-2 D6 R23), pick: L by 4 (57%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 53-6 A #553 Columbus West (1-8 D2 R7), pick: L by 16 (79%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 47-16 H #634 Columbus Africentric Early College (0-9 D6 R23), pick: W by 25 (91%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 0-35 H #155 Columbus Northland (7-2 D2 R7), pick: L by 18 (84%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 51-36 A #335 Lucas (7-2 D7 R27), pick: L by 8 (68%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 33-6 A #467 Columbus East (3-6 D4 R15), pick: W by 8 (69%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 25-30 H #363 Columbus Beechcroft (6-3 D3 R11), pick: W by 5 (61%)
Oct 12 (W8) W 42-0 A #645 Columbus Linden McKinley (0-9 D4 R15), pick: W by 25 (93%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 48-6 A #497 Columbus Mifflin (2-7 D2 R7), pick: W by 9 (70%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #536 Columbus Whetstone (3-6 D2 R7), pick: W by 18 (87%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#99 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 99
Projected record 7-3
11.73 Harbin points (divisor 99)
Projected out of R11 playoffs

Win probabilities:
6W-13%, 7W-87%

Playoff scenarios
87% W 11.73 pts, out
13% L 10.02 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 102.0 (6-3, #342, D3 #70) out
W8: 101.0 (5-3, #349, D3 #71) out
W7: 99.8 (4-3, #369, D3 #77) out
W6: 101.5 (4-2, #347, D3 #68) 1% , proj. out
W5: 100.4 (3-2, #357, D3 #69) 1% , proj. out
W4: 93.5 (2-2, #452, D3 #88) 1% , proj. out
W3: 92.6 (2-1, #461, D3 #90) 1% , proj. out
W2: 95.9 (1-1, #417, D3 #86) 1% , proj. out
W1: 87.0 (0-1, #534, D3 #96) 1% , proj. out
W0: 94.0 (0-0, #486, D3 #90) 2% (bubble if 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 91.8 (4-6)