Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#339 Columbus Hamilton Township (4-5) 102.3

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#68 of 107 in Division III
#18 of 27 in Region 11
Eitel team page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 7-35 A #103 Granville (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 12 (71%)
Aug 30 (W2) L 14-28 H #193 Groveport Madison (5-4 D1 R3), pick: W by 1 (51%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 41-7 N #551 Columbus Bexley (1-8 D4 R15), pick: W by 1 (51%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 6-27 H #122 Whitehall-Yearling (8-1 D2 R7), pick: L by 12 (75%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 20-31 A #268 Bloom-Carroll (7-2 D4 R15), pick: L by 12 (76%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 48-0 H #588 Circleville Logan Elm (1-8 D4 R15), pick: W by 19 (87%)
Oct 04 (W7) W 41-21 A #469 Lancaster Fairfield Union (3-6 D4 R15), pick: W by 5 (62%)
Oct 12 (W8) W 9-8 H #241 Ashville Teays Valley (6-3 D2 R8), pick: L by 14 (80%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 0-37 H #246 Amanda-Clearcreek (8-1 D5 R19), pick: W by 1 (51%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #636 Circleville (0-9 D4 R15), pick: W by 26 (95%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#59 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 5-5
8.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R11 playoffs

Win probabilities:
4W-5%, 5W-95%

Playoff scenarios
95% W 8.55 pts, out
4.6% L 8.05 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 102.3 (4-5, #339, D3 #68) out
W8: 104.8 (4-4, #311, D3 #62) out
W7: 101.9 (3-4, #340, D3 #69) out
W6: 99.3 (2-4, #379, D3 #76) out
W5: 99.3 (1-4, #371, D3 #77) out
W4: 99.8 (1-3, #365, D3 #75) 1% , proj. out
W3: 101.4 (1-2, #345, D3 #67) 1% , proj. out
W2: 95.7 (0-2, #422, D3 #87) 1% , proj. out
W1: 99.8 (0-1, #371, D3 #79) 2% (bubble if 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 105.1 (0-0, #313, D3 #70) 13% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home, proj. out
Last year 98.3 (4-6)