Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#362 Marietta (4-5) 100.3

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#74 of 107 in Division III
#21 of 27 in Region 11
Eitel team page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 41-0 A #620 McConnelsville Morgan (1-8 D4 R15), pick: W by 13 (74%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 55-21 A #552 Vincent Warren (2-7 D3 R11), pick: W by 16 (79%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 22-33 H Williamstown WV (8-1 D6)
Sep 14 (W4) L 21-35 A Ripley WV (7-1 D3)
Sep 21 (W5) L 28-41 H Parkersburg WV (5-3 D1)
Sep 28 (W6) W 42-0 H #507 Sarahsville Shenandoah (4-5 D6 R23), pick: W by 15 (80%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 14-6 H #473 Warsaw River View (4-5 D4 R15), pick: W by 13 (78%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 0-33 A #219 New Philadelphia (4-5 D3 R9), pick: L by 10 (72%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 7-49 H #63 Dover (7-2 D2 R7), pick: L by 25 (94%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #203 Zanesville (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 13 (79%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#88 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 98
Projected record 4-6
7.41 Harbin points (divisor 98)
Projected out of R11 playoffs

Win probabilities:
4W-79%, 5W-21%

Playoff scenarios
21% W 11.33 pts, out
79% L 7.41 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 100.3 (4-5, #362, D3 #74) out
W8: 100.2 (4-4, #359, D3 #76) out
W7: 103.0 (4-3, #329, D3 #66) 1% , proj. out
W6: 102.8 (3-3, #333, D3 #64) 1% , proj. out
W5: 100.0 (2-3, #366, D3 #74) 1% , proj. out
W4: 101.0 (2-2, #353, D3 #73) 2% , proj. out
W3: 101.0 (2-1, #352, D3 #70) 23% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home, proj. out
W2: 101.3 (2-0, #355, D3 #74) 44% (need 8-2), 12% home, proj. out
W1: 100.1 (1-0, #367, D3 #77) 28% (need 8-2), 9% home, proj. out
W0: 100.0 (0-0, #394, D3 #81) 25% (bubble if 7-3), 6% home, proj. out
Last year 100.7 (5-5)