Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#203 Zanesville (6-3) 112.1

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#43 of 107 in Division III
#10 of 27 in Region 11
Eitel team page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 32-27 A #409 Newark (1-8 D1 R2), pick: W by 3 (56%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 14-17 H #103 Granville (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 7 (63%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 26-34 A #109 Dresden Tri-Valley (8-1 D2 R7), pick: L by 26 (92%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 34-0 H #473 Warsaw River View (4-5 D4 R15), pick: W by 20 (87%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 27-13 A #542 Washington Court House Miami Trace (2-7 D3 R11), pick: W by 16 (82%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 27-18 A #357 Mount Vernon (3-6 D2 R7), pick: W by 10 (72%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 27-13 H #397 Logan (1-8 D2 R7), pick: W by 11 (75%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 7-37 A #63 Dover (7-2 D2 R7), pick: L by 16 (83%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 27-23 H #219 New Philadelphia (4-5 D3 R9), pick: L by 1 (50%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #362 Marietta (4-5 D3 R11), pick: W by 13 (79%)

Lists on which the team appears
Most improved teams

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#54 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 7-3
14.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R11 playoffs

Win probabilities:
6W-20%, 7W-80%

Playoff scenarios
80% W 14.65 pts, out
20% L 12.15 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 112.1 (6-3, #203, D3 #43) out
W8: 110.0 (5-3, #235, D3 #53) 1% , proj. out
W7: 111.8 (5-2, #204, D3 #43) 4% (bubble if 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W6: 110.0 (4-2, #229, D3 #51) 5% (need 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W5: 109.7 (3-2, #233, D3 #49) 8% (need 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W4: 109.6 (2-2, #229, D3 #48) 12% (need 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 109.1 (1-2, #237, D3 #49) 18% (need 7-3), 2% home, proj. out
W2: 105.7 (1-1, #285, D3 #57) 6% (need 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W1: 108.2 (1-0, #245, D3 #53) 22% (bubble if 7-3), 8% home, proj. out
W0: 108.4 (0-0, #267, D3 #64) 11% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home, proj. out
Last year 100.9 (3-7)