Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#462 Dayton Thurgood Marshall (3-6) 92.2

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#89 of 107 in Division III
#22 of 26 in Region 12
Eitel team page
Region 12 projections
Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 23 (W1) L 0-34 A #173 Cincinnati Taft (7-1 D4 R16), pick: L by 4 (58%)
Aug 30 (W2) L 6-51 H #42 Kettering Archbishop Alter (8-1 D3 R12), pick: L by 24 (88%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 17-30 A #346 Springfield Shawnee (5-4 D4 R16), pick: L by 5 (60%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 6-59 H #9 Cincinnati Winton Woods (8-1 D2 R8), pick: L by 33 (97%)
Sep 20 (W5) L 21-26 A #303 Dayton Belmont (3-6 D2 R8), pick: L by 9 (69%)
Sep 29 (W6) W 49-6 H #585 Cleveland Collinwood (3-6 D3 R9), pick: W by 18 (85%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 29-14 A Jay County IN (4-6 D3)
Oct 11 (W8) W 50-0 A #582 Dayton Meadowdale (2-6 D4 R16), pick: W by 11 (74%)
Oct 20 (W9) L 9-36 H #374 Dayton Dunbar (5-4 D3 R12), pick: W by 1 (50%)
Oct 27 (W10) A #615 Dayton Ponitz Tech (2-7 D3 R12), pick: W by 15 (82%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#62 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 96
Projected record 4-6
7.78 Harbin points (divisor 96)
Projected out of R12 playoffs

Win probabilities:
3W-18%, 4W-82%

Playoff scenarios
82% W 7.78 pts, out
18% L 6.86 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 92.2 (3-6, #462, D3 #89) out
W8: 95.3 (3-5, #429, D3 #86) out
W7: 93.9 (2-5, #448, D3 #87) out
W6: 95.1 (1-5, #436, D3 #87) out
W5: 94.0 (0-5, #447, D3 #86) out
W4: 94.9 (0-4, #438, D3 #86) 1% , proj. out
W3: 94.4 (0-3, #440, D3 #86) 1% , proj. out
W2: 97.6 (0-2, #397, D3 #80) 2% , proj. out
W1: 97.8 (0-1, #394, D3 #84) 7% (need 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 104.9 (0-0, #319, D3 #71) 18% (need 7-3), 5% home, proj. out
Last year 100.4 (6-4)