Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#582 Dayton Meadowdale (2-6) 80.2

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#94 of 107 in Division IV
#23 of 26 in Region 16
Eitel team page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 38-6 H Columbus Crusaders (club) OH (2-7 D0)(game does not count)
Aug 31 (W2) L 30-62 A #360 Urbana (4-5 D4 R16), pick: L by 5 (61%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 0-42 A #169 Piqua (6-3 D3 R12), pick: L by 31 (95%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 20-18 A #615 Dayton Ponitz Tech (2-7 D3 R12), pick: W by 4 (58%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 0-33 H #363 Columbus Beechcroft (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 12 (76%)
Oct 06 (W7) L 12-32 H #374 Dayton Dunbar (5-4 D3 R12), pick: L by 12 (77%)
Oct 11 (W8) L 0-50 H #462 Dayton Thurgood Marshall (3-6 D3 R12), pick: L by 11 (74%)
Oct 18 (W9) L 6-52 H #295 Hamilton Ross (4-5 D3 R12), pick: L by 23 (92%)
Oct 25 (W10) A #303 Dayton Belmont (3-6 D2 R8), pick: L by 26 (94%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#64 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 79
Projected record 2-7
1.13 Harbin points (divisor 79)
Projected out of R16 playoffs

Win probabilities:
2W-95%, 3W-5%

Playoff scenarios
4.7% W 4.54 pts, out
95% L 1.13 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 80.2 (2-6, #582, D4 #94) out
W8: 80.5 (2-5, #580, D4 #95) out
W7: 81.6 (2-4, #572, D4 #94) out
W6: 81.2 (2-3, #582, D4 #96) out
W5: 84.2 (2-2, #545, D4 #92) 1% , proj. out
W4: 82.1 (1-2, #569, D4 #96) 1% , proj. out
W3: 82.5 (1-2, #571, D4 #97) 1% , proj. out
W2: 82.4 (1-1, #570, D4 #95) 1% , proj. out
W1: 87.9 (1-0, #522, D4 #86) 3% (bubble if 6-3), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 89.9 (0-0, #528, D4 #88) 3% (bubble if 5-3), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 87.5 (4-6)