Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#295 Hamilton Ross (4-5) 106.2

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#60 of 107 in Division III
#15 of 26 in Region 12
Eitel team page
Region 12 projections
Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 20-41 H #146 Hamilton Badin (6-3 D3 R12), pick: L by 11 (69%)
Sep 01 (W2) W 42-7 A #435 Monroe (2-7 D3 R12), pick: L by 6 (62%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 13-7 H #328 Mount Orab Western Brown (3-6 D2 R8), pick: W by 8 (66%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 14-49 H #112 Harrison (6-3 D2 R8), pick: L by 17 (82%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 14-28 A #197 Cincinnati Mount Healthy (5-4 D3 R12), pick: L by 9 (70%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 10-6 H #91 Trenton Edgewood (7-2 D2 R8), pick: L by 24 (92%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 20-21 A #312 Cincinnati Northwest (3-6 D3 R12), pick: W by 4 (61%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 10-24 A #154 Morrow Little Miami (7-2 D2 R8), pick: L by 14 (80%)
Oct 18 (W9) W 52-6 A #582 Dayton Meadowdale (2-6 D4 R16), pick: W by 23 (92%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #432 Oxford Talawanda (2-7 D2 R8), pick: W by 12 (78%)

Lists on which the team appears
Biggest upsets

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#33 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 98
Projected record 5-5
12.14 Harbin points (divisor 98)
Projected out of R12 playoffs

Win probabilities:
4W-22%, 5W-78%

Playoff scenarios
78% W 12.14 pts, out
22% L 10.57 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 106.2 (4-5, #295, D3 #60) out
W8: 105.8 (3-5, #301, D3 #61) 1% , proj. out
W7: 104.9 (3-4, #306, D3 #62) 11% (need 6-4), proj. out
W6: 106.0 (3-3, #284, D3 #59) 17% (need 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W5: 101.2 (2-3, #350, D3 #68) 2% , proj. out
W4: 102.3 (2-2, #337, D3 #67) 6% (need 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 101.9 (2-1, #340, D3 #66) 6% (need 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W2: 102.0 (1-1, #343, D3 #71) 4% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W1: 94.3 (0-1, #457, D3 #91) 1% , proj. out
W0: 99.1 (0-0, #404, D3 #82) 4% (need 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 95.3 (1-9)