Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#418 Akron Coventry (3-6) 96.3

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#86 of 107 in Division III
#24 of 28 in Region 9
Eitel team page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 33-0 H #593 Akron Kenmore-Garfield (0-9 D2 R5), pick: W by 15 (77%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 7-12 A #318 Carrollton (4-5 D4 R13), pick: W by 14 (77%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 21-34 A #176 Tallmadge (4-5 D3 R9), pick: L by 12 (74%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 41-35 A #376 Lodi Cloverleaf (4-5 D3 R9), pick: W by 3 (56%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 21-17 H #476 Mogadore Field (1-8 D4 R13), pick: W by 23 (91%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 20-46 H #194 Ravenna (7-2 D3 R9), pick: L by 11 (73%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 0-37 A #320 Streetsboro (4-5 D4 R13), pick: L by 4 (59%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 28-34 H #181 Peninsula Woodridge (5-4 D4 R13), pick: L by 11 (75%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 13-20 A #498 Akron Springfield (2-7 D3 R9), pick: W by 11 (76%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #198 Norton (7-2 D3 R9), pick: L by 18 (87%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#75 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 3-7
4.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R9 playoffs

Win probabilities:
3W-87%, 4W-13%

Playoff scenarios
13% W 9.15 pts, out
87% L 4.80 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 96.3 (3-6, #418, D3 #86) out
W8: 98.7 (3-5, #389, D3 #81) out
W7: 98.3 (3-4, #395, D3 #80) out
W6: 101.1 (3-3, #352, D3 #70) out
W5: 102.6 (3-2, #336, D3 #61) 1% , proj. out
W4: 104.5 (2-2, #306, D3 #58) 1% (bubble if 8-2), proj. out
W3: 103.0 (1-2, #324, D3 #62) 1% , proj. out
W2: 104.7 (1-1, #301, D3 #61) 4% (need 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W1: 112.8 (1-0, #185, D3 #36) 44% (need 8-2), 17% home, proj. out
W0: 112.6 (0-0, #216, D3 #49) 29% (bubble if 7-3), 9% home, proj. out
Last year 118.5 (8-2)