Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#305 Niles McKinley (3-6) 105.2

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#62 of 107 in Division III
#20 of 28 in Region 9
Eitel team page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 23 (W1) L 13-49 H #138 Girard (8-1 D4 R13), pick: L by 7 (63%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 7-34 H #141 Poland Seminary (6-3 D4 R13), pick: L by 24 (88%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 28-49 A #172 Struthers (6-3 D4 R13), pick: L by 17 (82%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 12-27 A #113 Youngstown East (6-3 D4 R13), pick: L by 19 (86%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 48-7 H #388 Cortland Lakeview (4-5 D4 R13), pick: L by 7 (65%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 0-37 A #47 Hubbard (9-0 D4 R13), pick: L by 25 (93%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 0-35 H #52 Canfield (8-1 D3 R9), pick: L by 29 (96%)
Oct 11 (W8) W 28-6 A #399 Warren Howland (1-8 D3 R9), pick: L by 1 (51%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 62-0 H #602 Jefferson Area (0-9 D4 R13), pick: W by 26 (95%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #567 Ashtabula Edgewood (3-6 D4 R13), pick: W by 21 (91%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#22 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 4-6
5.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R9 playoffs

Win probabilities:
3W-9%, 4W-91%

Playoff scenarios
91% W 5.70 pts, out
9.3% L 3.95 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 105.2 (3-6, #305, D3 #62) out
W8: 104.2 (2-6, #321, D3 #65) out
W7: 101.2 (1-6, #351, D3 #71) out
W6: 99.8 (1-5, #372, D3 #73) out
W5: 98.8 (1-4, #382, D3 #80) out
W4: 92.0 (0-4, #476, D3 #92) out
W3: 92.0 (0-3, #468, D3 #92) out
W2: 93.7 (0-2, #449, D3 #92) 1% , proj. out
W1: 94.8 (0-1, #445, D3 #90) 1% , proj. out
W0: 100.6 (0-0, #383, D3 #79) 1% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 97.9 (2-8)