Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#349 Springfield Kenton Ridge (5-4) 101.1

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#51 of 107 in Division IV
#12 of 26 in Region 16
Eitel team page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 14-54 H #229 Mechanicsburg (8-1 D6 R24), pick: L by 1 (51%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 44-0 A #648 Carlisle (0-9 D5 R20), pick: L by 4 (58%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 47-14 A #565 Riverside Stebbins (0-9 D2 R8), pick: W by 13 (76%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 24-20 H #360 Urbana (4-5 D4 R16), pick: W by 9 (69%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 54-33 H #540 St Paris Graham Local (2-7 D4 R16), pick: W by 21 (88%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 7-34 H #244 Bellefontaine (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 7 (65%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 26-38 A #234 Plain City Jonathan Alder (6-3 D4 R16), pick: L by 11 (74%)
Oct 11 (W8) W 47-30 H #346 Springfield Shawnee (5-4 D4 R16), pick: W by 2 (55%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 14-21 A #367 Springfield Northwestern (6-3 D4 R16), pick: W by 2 (56%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #330 New Carlisle Tecumseh (5-4 D2 R8), pick: L by 4 (59%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#71 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 5-5
8.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R16 playoffs

Win probabilities:
5W-59%, 6W-41%

Playoff scenarios
41% W 12.05 pts, out
59% L 8.85 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 101.1 (5-4, #349, D4 #51) out
W8: 102.5 (5-3, #337, D4 #47) 10% (bubble if 7-3), proj. out
W7: 99.5 (4-3, #374, D4 #54) 3% (bubble if 7-3), proj. out
W6: 100.0 (4-2, #369, D4 #53) 5% (need 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W5: 103.6 (4-1, #325, D4 #46) 20% (need 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W4: 103.0 (3-1, #328, D4 #46) 22% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 102.9 (2-1, #326, D4 #45) 18% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home, proj. out
W2: 103.4 (1-1, #326, D4 #47) 26% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home, proj. out
W1: 97.9 (0-1, #393, D4 #55) 8% (need 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 105.6 (0-0, #305, D4 #42) 29% (need 7-3), 7% home, proj. out
Last year 105.5 (6-4)