Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#540 St Paris Graham Local (2-7) 85.2

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#88 of 107 in Division IV
#20 of 26 in Region 16
Eitel team page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 3-35 H #395 West Liberty-Salem (6-3 D6 R24), pick: L by 16 (78%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 27-14 H #608 South Charleston Southeastern Local (3-6 D7 R28), pick: W by 7 (65%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 14-24 H #494 Sidney Lehman Catholic (6-3 D7 R28), pick: L by 14 (77%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 6-42 H #244 Bellefontaine (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 28 (94%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 33-54 A #349 Springfield Kenton Ridge (5-4 D4 R16), pick: L by 21 (88%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 19-52 A #234 Plain City Jonathan Alder (6-3 D4 R16), pick: L by 26 (93%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 12-21 A #472 Lewistown Indian Lake (3-6 D5 R18), pick: L by 7 (65%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 6-45 H #360 Urbana (4-5 D4 R16), pick: L by 17 (85%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 33-19 A #514 Bellefontaine Benjamin Logan (2-7 D4 R16), pick: L by 12 (78%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #367 Springfield Northwestern (6-3 D4 R16), pick: L by 13 (80%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#83 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 2-8
2.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R16 playoffs

Win probabilities:
2W-80%, 3W-20%

Playoff scenarios
20% W 5.90 pts, out
80% L 2.70 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 85.2 (2-7, #540, D4 #88) out
W8: 80.8 (1-7, #579, D4 #94) out
W7: 79.8 (1-6, #585, D4 #96) out
W6: 83.3 (1-5, #551, D4 #91) out
W5: 83.8 (1-4, #551, D4 #93) out
W4: 83.8 (1-3, #552, D4 #91) 1% , proj. out
W3: 82.5 (1-2, #572, D4 #98) 1% , proj. out
W2: 82.2 (1-1, #573, D4 #97) 1% , proj. out
W1: 81.4 (0-1, #585, D4 #99) 1% , proj. out
W0: 85.1 (0-0, #575, D4 #98) 1% , proj. out
Last year 83.2 (1-9)