Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#360 Urbana (4-5) 100.3

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#53 of 107 in Division IV
#13 of 26 in Region 16
Eitel team page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 7-41 A #114 London (9-0 D4 R16), pick: L by 7 (64%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 62-30 H #582 Dayton Meadowdale (2-6 D4 R16), pick: W by 5 (61%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 7-49 A #244 Bellefontaine (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 18 (83%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 20-24 A #349 Springfield Kenton Ridge (5-4 D4 R16), pick: L by 9 (69%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 32-35 H #330 New Carlisle Tecumseh (5-4 D2 R8), pick: L by 9 (69%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 7-24 A #367 Springfield Northwestern (6-3 D4 R16), pick: L by 2 (54%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 47-12 H #346 Springfield Shawnee (5-4 D4 R16), pick: L by 11 (74%)
Oct 12 (W8) W 45-6 A #540 St Paris Graham Local (2-7 D4 R16), pick: W by 17 (85%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 35-0 H #472 Lewistown Indian Lake (3-6 D5 R18), pick: W by 8 (69%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #514 Bellefontaine Benjamin Logan (2-7 D4 R16), pick: W by 15 (82%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#56 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 98
Projected record 5-5
9.24 Harbin points (divisor 98)
Projected out of R16 playoffs

Win probabilities:
4W-18%, 5W-82%

Playoff scenarios
82% W 9.24 pts, out
18% L 7.97 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 100.3 (4-5, #360, D4 #53) out
W8: 98.2 (3-5, #397, D4 #59) out
W7: 98.5 (2-5, #392, D4 #57) out
W6: 92.1 (1-5, #472, D4 #76) out
W5: 95.7 (1-4, #431, D4 #65) 1% , proj. out
W4: 94.7 (1-3, #441, D4 #67) 1% (bubble if 7-3), proj. out
W3: 95.6 (1-2, #422, D4 #65) 2% , proj. out
W2: 95.6 (1-1, #424, D4 #62) 6% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W1: 91.7 (0-1, #477, D4 #75) 3% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 97.9 (0-0, #425, D4 #68) 9% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 96.6 (4-6)