Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#233 Beloit West Branch (6-3) 110.1

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#51 of 107 in Division III
#19 of 28 in Region 9
Eitel team page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 48-35 H #245 Columbiana Crestview (5-3 D5 R17), pick: L by 1 (50%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 50-7 A #515 East Liverpool Beaver Local (3-6 D4 R13), pick: W by 9 (68%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 49-19 H #420 Ravenna Southeast (4-5 D4 R13), pick: W by 27 (92%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 21-34 H #157 Alliance (6-3 D3 R9), pick: W by 3 (57%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 42-6 A #597 Minerva (0-9 D4 R13), pick: W by 26 (93%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 20-6 A #318 Carrollton (4-5 D4 R13), pick: L by 2 (55%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 21-0 H #438 Canton South (2-7 D4 R13), pick: W by 16 (83%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 8-30 A #162 Millersburg West Holmes (7-2 D3 R9), pick: W by 1 (50%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 20-28 A #136 Alliance Marlington (8-1 D3 R9), pick: L by 10 (74%)
Oct 27 (W10) H #345 Salem (5-4 D4 R13), pick: W by 10 (73%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#70 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 99
Projected record 7-3
15.82 Harbin points (divisor 99)
Projected out of R9 playoffs

Win probabilities:
6W-27%, 7W-73%

Playoff scenarios
73% W 15.82 pts, out
27% L 12.85 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 110.1 (6-3, #233, D3 #51) out
W8: 110.0 (6-2, #234, D3 #52) 13% (need 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W7: 112.6 (6-1, #198, D3 #41) 34% (bubble if 8-2), 7% home, proj. #7
W6: 112.2 (5-1, #201, D3 #44) 22% (bubble if 8-2), 5% home, proj. out
W5: 108.6 (4-1, #245, D3 #51) 8% (bubble if 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W4: 108.0 (3-1, #257, D3 #53) 7% (bubble if 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 112.5 (3-0, #193, D3 #45) 33% (bubble if 8-2), 10% home, proj. out
W2: 113.8 (2-0, #175, D3 #37) 53% (need 8-2), 23% home, proj. #7
W1: 106.4 (1-0, #280, D3 #65) 28% (need 8-2), 9% home, proj. out
W0: 102.7 (0-0, #352, D3 #75) 10% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home, proj. out
Last year 100.5 (3-7)