Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#600 Hebron Lakewood (1-8) 78.2

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#99 of 107 in Division IV
#22 of 27 in Region 15
Eitel team page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 7-39 A #246 Amanda-Clearcreek (8-1 D5 R19), pick: L by 16 (77%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 42-18 H Landmark Eagles (club) OH (7-1 D0)(game does not count)
Sep 07 (W3) L 21-51 A #268 Bloom-Carroll (7-2 D4 R15), pick: L by 31 (95%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 20-23 H #525 Johnstown Northridge (3-6 D5 R19), pick: W by 7 (65%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 0-31 A #458 Heath (4-5 D5 R19), pick: L by 23 (91%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 7-48 H #206 Newark Licking Valley (6-3 D4 R15), pick: L by 30 (96%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 0-44 A #191 Pataskala Licking Heights (6-3 D2 R7), pick: L by 34 (98%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 0-42 H #103 Granville (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 36 (98%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 7-62 A #371 Pataskala Watkins Memorial (4-5 D2 R7), pick: L by 24 (93%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #604 Utica (1-8 D4 R15), pick: W by 2 (56%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#19 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 90
Projected record 2-8
1.06 Harbin points (divisor 90)
Projected out of R15 playoffs

Win probabilities:
1W-45%, 2W-55%

Playoff scenarios
55% W 1.06 pts, out
45% L 0.00 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 78.2 (1-8, #600, D4 #99) out
W8: 77.0 (1-7, #609, D4 #101) out
W7: 76.3 (1-6, #617, D4 #103) out
W6: 76.2 (1-5, #617, D4 #103) out
W5: 76.7 (1-4, #617, D4 #103) out
W4: 77.2 (1-3, #617, D4 #105) out
W3: 84.0 (1-2, #558, D4 #92) 1% , proj. out
W2: 82.5 (1-1, #566, D4 #93) 1% , proj. out
W1: 82.4 (0-1, #575, D4 #96) 1% , proj. out
W0: 86.6 (0-0, #559, D4 #94) 1% , proj. out
Last year 83.5 (0-10)