Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#620 McConnelsville Morgan (1-8) 75.2

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#103 of 107 in Division IV
#25 of 27 in Region 15
Eitel team page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 0-41 H #362 Marietta (4-5 D3 R11), pick: L by 13 (74%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 6-71 A #109 Dresden Tri-Valley (8-1 D2 R7), pick: L by 40 (98%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 7-42 H #440 New Lexington (5-4 D4 R15), pick: L by 19 (84%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 48-13 A #689 Zanesville West Muskingum (0-9 D5 R19), pick: W by 6 (64%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 14-22 A #584 Crooksville (2-7 D6 R23), pick: W by 2 (53%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 6-56 H #364 Zanesville Maysville (5-4 D3 R11), pick: L by 21 (89%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 7-40 H #182 New Concord John Glenn (6-3 D4 R15), pick: L by 27 (95%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 10-54 A #507 Sarahsville Shenandoah (4-5 D6 R23), pick: L by 12 (77%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 14-55 H #247 Duncan Falls Philo (6-3 D4 R15), pick: L by 29 (96%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #107 Thornville Sheridan (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 38 (99%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#69 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 1-9
0.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R15 playoffs

Win probabilities:
1W-100%

Playoff scenarios
0.1% W 5.00 pts, out
100% L 0.45 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 75.2 (1-8, #620, D4 #103) out
W8: 74.8 (1-7, #624, D4 #103) out
W7: 76.6 (1-6, #615, D4 #102) out
W6: 76.4 (1-5, #616, D4 #102) out
W5: 77.4 (1-4, #605, D4 #101) out
W4: 82.6 (1-3, #564, D4 #94) 1% , proj. out
W3: 80.7 (0-3, #589, D4 #103) out
W2: 81.4 (0-2, #580, D4 #99) 1% , proj. out
W1: 81.1 (0-1, #591, D4 #100) 1% , proj. out
W0: 85.1 (0-0, #572, D4 #97) 1% , proj. out
Last year 83.4 (1-9)