Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#589 Minerva (0-5) 79.9

Updated 22-Sep-2018 10:02PM
Week 5 in progress
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#97 of 106 in Division IV
#26 of 27 in Region 13
Eitel team page
Region 13 projections
Region 13 playoff probabilities
Region 13 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 13-42 H #470 Hanoverton United (3-2 D6 R21), pick: W by 1 (53%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 13-38 H #316 Magnolia Sandy Valley (4-1 D5 R17), pick: L by 16 (79%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 13-58 A #103 Gnadenhutten Indian Valley (5-0 D4 R15), pick: L by 34 (97%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 0-35 A #381 Canton South (2-3 D4 R13), pick: L by 12 (74%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 6-42 H #245 Beloit West Branch (4-1 D3 R9), pick: L by 26 (93%)
Sep 28 (W6) A #489 Warsaw River View (3-2 D4 R15), pick: L by 11 (75%)
Oct 05 (W7) A #97 Alliance Marlington (4-1 D3 R9), pick: L by 36 (98%)
Oct 12 (W8) H #338 Salem (3-2 D4 R13), pick: L by 26 (94%)
Oct 19 (W9) H #177 Alliance (2-3 D3 R9), pick: L by 30 (96%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #243 Carrollton (3-2 D4 R13), pick: L by 29 (96%)

Lists on which the team appears
Winning & losing streaks

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#24 of 106 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 0-10
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R13 playoffs

Win probabilities:
0W-63%, 1W-33%, 2W-4%

Best realistic scenario
2.4% WLWLL 5.30 pts, out

Worst realistic scenario
63% LLLLL 0.00 pts, out

Most likely other scenarios
21% WLLLL 2.35 pts, out
7.9% LLWLL 2.95 pts, out
2.2% LLLLW 3.10 pts, out
(4% some other outcome)

Weekly ranking & projection history
W4: 79.4 (0-4, #592, D4 #100) out
W3: 81.3 (0-3, #584, D4 #102) out
W2: 81.1 (0-2, #585, D4 #100) out
W1: 83.0 (0-1, #569, D4 #95) 1% , proj. out
W0: 91.6 (0-0, #511, D4 #84) 1% , proj. out
Last year 86.2 (0-10)