Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#552 Vincent Warren (2-7) 83.7

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#97 of 107 in Division III
#27 of 27 in Region 11
Eitel team page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 26-51 A #310 The Plains Athens (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 26 (90%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 21-55 H #362 Marietta (4-5 D3 R11), pick: L by 16 (79%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 0-61 A Point Pleasant WV (7-0 D3)
Sep 14 (W4) L 8-38 A #392 Cambridge (3-6 D4 R15), pick: L by 13 (77%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 13-19 H #526 Belmont Union Local (3-6 D5 R19), pick: L by 9 (70%)
Sep 29 (W6) W 20-14 H #584 Crooksville (2-7 D6 R23), pick: L by 1 (53%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 20-21 H Oak Glen WV (5-4 D4)
Oct 12 (W8) L 13-33 A Williamstown WV (8-1 D6)
Oct 19 (W9) W 33-21 H #603 Albany Alexander (4-5 D5 R19), pick: W by 2 (56%)
Oct 26 (W10) A John Marshall WV, [L by 15, 82%]

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#100 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 97
Projected record 2-8
3.69 Harbin points (divisor 97)
Projected out of R11 playoffs

Win probabilities:
2W-83%, 3W-17%

Playoff scenarios
17% W 7.38 pts, out
83% L 3.69 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 83.7 (2-7, #552, D3 #97) out
W8: 80.5 (1-7, #581, D3 #98) out
W7: 80.0 (1-6, #582, D3 #99) out
W6: 80.0 (1-5, #589, D3 #100) out
W5: 76.9 (0-5, #612, D3 #102) out
W4: 76.4 (0-4, #621, D3 #103) 1% , proj. out
W3: 78.9 (0-3, #601, D3 #102) 1% , proj. out
W2: 79.7 (0-2, #594, D3 #99) 1% , proj. out
W1: 82.5 (0-1, #573, D3 #100) 2% (bubble if 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 84.3 (0-0, #587, D3 #100) 4% (bubble if 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 78.2 (0-10)