Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#636 Circleville (0-9) 73.5

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#106 of 107 in Division IV
#26 of 27 in Region 15
Eitel team page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 15-30 A #542 Washington Court House Miami Trace (2-7 D3 R11), pick: W by 4 (58%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 6-68 A #255 Washington Court House Washington (6-3 D4 R16), pick: L by 14 (76%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 6-28 H #550 Williamsport Westfall (4-5 D4 R15), pick: L by 2 (55%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 7-38 H #469 Lancaster Fairfield Union (3-6 D4 R15), pick: L by 14 (78%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 7-81 A #114 London (9-0 D4 R16), pick: L by 30 (96%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 0-34 H #268 Bloom-Carroll (7-2 D4 R15), pick: L by 30 (96%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 12-18 H #588 Circleville Logan Elm (1-8 D4 R15), pick: L by 2 (56%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 2-47 A #246 Amanda-Clearcreek (8-1 D5 R19), pick: L by 31 (97%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 0-53 A #241 Ashville Teays Valley (6-3 D2 R8), pick: L by 33 (98%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #339 Columbus Hamilton Township (4-5 D3 R11), pick: L by 26 (95%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#50 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 0-10
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R15 playoffs

Win probabilities:
0W-96%, 1W-4%

Playoff scenarios
4.4% W 2.65 pts, out
96% L 0.00 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 73.5 (0-9, #636, D4 #106) out
W8: 72.6 (0-8, #641, D4 #106) out
W7: 73.1 (0-7, #638, D4 #106) out
W6: 74.3 (0-6, #627, D4 #105) out
W5: 76.8 (0-5, #613, D4 #102) out
W4: 78.3 (0-4, #607, D4 #102) out
W3: 81.4 (0-3, #580, D4 #101) 1% , proj. out
W2: 86.6 (0-2, #531, D4 #86) 1% , proj. out
W1: 89.3 (0-1, #505, D4 #78) 6% (bubble if 5-5), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 98.7 (0-0, #410, D4 #63) 22% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home, proj. out
Last year 95.1 (4-6)