Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#551 Columbus Bexley (1-8) 83.7

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#91 of 107 in Division IV
#20 of 27 in Region 15
Eitel team page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 21-32 A #338 Canal Winchester Harvest Prep (9-0 D7 R27), pick: L by 5 (59%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 16-0 A #646 Campbell Memorial (0-9 D6 R21), pick: W by 4 (58%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 7-41 N #339 Columbus Hamilton Township (4-5 D3 R11), pick: L by 1 (51%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 6-38 A #273 Gahanna Columbus Academy (5-4 D5 R19), pick: L by 16 (81%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 13-35 H #274 Columbus Grandview Heights (7-2 D6 R23), pick: L by 19 (86%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 0-26 A #486 Baltimore Liberty Union (1-8 D5 R19), pick: L by 3 (57%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 0-49 H #241 Ashville Teays Valley (6-3 D2 R8), pick: L by 28 (95%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 10-37 H #122 Whitehall-Yearling (8-1 D2 R7), pick: L by 30 (96%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 0-56 A #114 London (9-0 D4 R16), pick: L by 33 (98%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #285 Columbus Bishop Ready (3-6 D5 R19), pick: L by 22 (91%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#27 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 99
Projected record 1-9
0.40 Harbin points (divisor 99)
Projected out of R15 playoffs

Win probabilities:
1W-91%, 2W-9%

Playoff scenarios
9.2% W 2.21 pts, out
91% L 0.40 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 83.7 (1-8, #551, D4 #91) out
W8: 84.2 (1-7, #550, D4 #88) out
W7: 84.8 (1-6, #548, D4 #90) out
W6: 84.8 (1-5, #540, D4 #90) 1% , proj. out
W5: 88.5 (1-4, #508, D4 #84) 1% , proj. out
W4: 89.0 (1-3, #505, D4 #83) 1% , proj. out
W3: 91.6 (1-2, #475, D4 #76) 2% , proj. out
W2: 95.0 (1-1, #432, D4 #64) 6% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W1: 89.5 (0-1, #501, D4 #77) 3% (need 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 95.1 (0-0, #473, D4 #77) 8% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home, proj. out
Last year 87.3 (0-10)