Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#467 Columbus East (3-6) 91.8

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#75 of 107 in Division IV
#13 of 27 in Region 15
Eitel team page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 8-24 H #403 Columbus South (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 4 (58%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 0-35 A #246 Amanda-Clearcreek (8-1 D5 R19), pick: L by 25 (89%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 40-6 A #553 Columbus West (1-8 D2 R7), pick: L by 14 (76%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 28-14 H #536 Columbus Whetstone (3-6 D2 R7), pick: W by 6 (63%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 12-15 A #363 Columbus Beechcroft (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 10 (71%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 6-33 H #342 Columbus Centennial (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 8 (69%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 6-42 H #166 Lima Central Catholic (8-0 D6 R24), pick: L by 24 (92%)
Oct 12 (W8) W 14-12 A #497 Columbus Mifflin (2-7 D2 R7), pick: L by 5 (63%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 0-14 H #155 Columbus Northland (7-2 D2 R7), pick: L by 24 (93%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #645 Columbus Linden McKinley (0-9 D4 R15), pick: W by 18 (87%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#53 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 98
Projected record 4-6
5.46 Harbin points (divisor 98)
Projected out of R15 playoffs

Win probabilities:
3W-13%, 4W-87%

Playoff scenarios
87% W 5.46 pts, out
13% L 4.96 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 91.8 (3-6, #467, D4 #75) out
W8: 91.6 (3-5, #464, D4 #73) 1% , proj. out
W7: 89.9 (2-5, #487, D4 #79) 1% , proj. out
W6: 89.1 (2-4, #497, D4 #82) 1% , proj. out
W5: 90.5 (2-3, #486, D4 #79) 1% (need 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W4: 89.3 (2-2, #500, D4 #82) 3% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 87.4 (1-2, #515, D4 #85) 2% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W2: 77.8 (0-2, #613, D4 #103) 1% , proj. out
W1: 76.9 (0-1, #628, D4 #104) 1% , proj. out
W0: 82.9 (0-0, #595, D4 #101) 1% , proj. out
Last year 81.3 (1-9)