Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#403 Columbus South (6-3) 97.1

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#82 of 107 in Division III
#25 of 27 in Region 11
Eitel team page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 24-8 A #467 Columbus East (3-6 D4 R15), pick: W by 4 (58%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 28-6 H #548 Sugar Grove Berne Union (7-2 D7 R27), pick: W by 11 (71%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 40-6 H #645 Columbus Linden McKinley (0-9 D4 R15), pick: W by 16 (80%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 6-47 A #116 Columbus Eastmoor Academy (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 22 (89%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 48-0 A #534 Columbus Briggs (2-7 D2 R8), pick: W by 11 (74%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 40-0 H #634 Columbus Africentric Early College (0-9 D6 R23), pick: W by 26 (93%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 68-0 H #553 Columbus West (1-8 D2 R7), pick: W by 19 (87%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 8-47 A #144 Columbus Walnut Ridge (8-1 D2 R7), pick: L by 18 (87%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 0-42 H #307 Columbus Independence (5-4 D3 R11), pick: W by 1 (51%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #190 Columbus Marion-Franklin (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 18 (86%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#97 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 99
Projected record 6-4
9.82 Harbin points (divisor 99)
Projected out of R11 playoffs

Win probabilities:
6W-86%, 7W-14%

Playoff scenarios
14% W 13.85 pts, out
86% L 9.82 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 97.1 (6-3, #403, D3 #82) out
W8: 100.6 (6-2, #354, D3 #74) 1% , proj. out
W7: 100.8 (6-1, #356, D3 #72) 1% (need 9-1), 1% home, proj. out
W6: 100.0 (5-1, #368, D3 #72) 2% , proj. out
W5: 100.0 (4-1, #365, D3 #73) 4% , proj. out
W4: 97.9 (3-1, #392, D3 #77) 3% (bubble if 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 97.8 (3-0, #396, D3 #81) 3% , proj. out
W2: 93.7 (2-0, #448, D3 #91) 1% , proj. out
W1: 90.9 (1-0, #484, D3 #93) 1% , proj. out
W0: 88.8 (0-0, #536, D3 #95) 1% , proj. out
Last year 87.2 (3-6)