Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#531 McArthur Vinton County (3-6) 86.1

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#86 of 107 in Division IV
#17 of 27 in Region 15
Eitel team page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 6-21 A #377 Chillicothe Unioto (6-3 D4 R15), pick: L by 5 (60%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 21-20 H #447 Chillicothe Southeastern (6-3 D6 R23), pick: L by 2 (53%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 0-28 H #469 Lancaster Fairfield Union (3-6 D4 R15), pick: W by 2 (54%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 21-27 H #492 Pomeroy Meigs (3-6 D4 R15), pick: L by 1 (51%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 13-42 A #310 The Plains Athens (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 14 (78%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 14-17 H #603 Albany Alexander (4-5 D5 R19), pick: W by 10 (73%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 21-28 H #383 Minford (6-3 D5 R20), pick: L by 18 (86%)
Oct 12 (W8) W 35-0 A #659 Bidwell River Valley (0-9 D5 R19), pick: W by 10 (73%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 39-35 H #468 Nelsonville-York (4-5 D6 R23), pick: L by 9 (71%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #535 Wellston (3-6 D5 R19), pick: L by 1 (53%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#102 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 3-7
6.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R15 playoffs

Win probabilities:
3W-53%, 4W-47%

Playoff scenarios
47% W 8.45 pts, out
53% L 6.65 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 86.1 (3-6, #531, D4 #86) out
W8: 84.0 (2-6, #552, D4 #90) out
W7: 83.2 (1-6, #556, D4 #92) 1% , proj. out
W6: 82.8 (1-5, #557, D4 #93) 1% , proj. out
W5: 85.4 (1-4, #533, D4 #88) 3% (bubble if 6-4), proj. out
W4: 85.9 (1-3, #527, D4 #87) 8% (need 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 86.3 (1-2, #528, D4 #86) 11% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W2: 92.2 (1-1, #476, D4 #74) 25% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home, proj. out
W1: 88.6 (0-1, #512, D4 #81) 13% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home, proj. out
W0: 95.0 (0-0, #475, D4 #78) 23% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home, proj. out
Last year 97.7 (5-5)