Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#554 Norwood (2-7) 83.4

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#92 of 107 in Division IV
#22 of 26 in Region 16
Eitel team page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 9-31 H #314 Cincinnati Madeira (6-3 D5 R20), pick: W by 1 (51%)
Sep 01 (W2) L 7-14 H #412 Cincinnati Archbishop McNicholas (1-8 D3 R12), pick: L by 17 (81%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 0-32 A #530 Cleves Taylor (2-7 D4 R16), pick: L by 2 (55%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 6-31 H #257 Goshen (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 16 (81%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 14-24 A #265 New Richmond (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 26 (93%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 20-17 H #512 Cincinnati Summit Country Day (4-4 D5 R20), pick: L by 1 (53%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 33-18 A #676 Cincinnati North College Hill (1-8 D5 R20), pick: W by 20 (88%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 0-38 A #502 Cincinnati Miami Valley Christian Academy (7-1 D7 R28), pick: W by 1 (51%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 0-50 H #281 Cincinnati Hills Christian Academy (6-2 D5 R20), pick: L by 21 (90%)
Oct 26 (W10) H KIPP Columbus OH, [W by 17, 85%]

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#85 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 90
Projected record 3-7
4.25 Harbin points (divisor 90)
Projected out of R16 playoffs

Win probabilities:
2W-20%, 3W-80%

Playoff scenarios
80% W 4.25 pts, out
20% L 3.51 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 83.4 (2-7, #554, D4 #92) out
W8: 84.1 (2-6, #551, D4 #89) out
W7: 88.4 (2-5, #501, D4 #84) out
W6: 87.2 (1-5, #521, D4 #86) out
W5: 84.3 (0-5, #544, D4 #91) out
W4: 83.2 (0-4, #556, D4 #92) 1% , proj. out
W3: 83.6 (0-3, #560, D4 #94) 1% , proj. out
W2: 86.6 (0-2, #532, D4 #87) 1% , proj. out
W1: 88.6 (0-1, #513, D4 #82) 1% , proj. out
W0: 96.7 (0-0, #447, D4 #74) 17% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home, proj. out
Last year 94.3 (5-5)