Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#542 Washington Court House Miami Trace (2-7) 85.1

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#94 of 107 in Division III
#26 of 27 in Region 11
Eitel team page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 30-15 H #636 Circleville (0-9 D4 R15), pick: L by 4 (58%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 7-38 A #402 Wilmington (4-5 D3 R11), pick: L by 10 (69%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 22-9 A #588 Circleville Logan Elm (1-8 D4 R15), pick: W by 9 (68%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 0-54 A #51 Clarksville Clinton-Massie (8-1 D4 R16), pick: L by 31 (96%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 13-27 H #203 Zanesville (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 16 (82%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 40-47 H #590 Greenfield McClain (2-7 D4 R16), pick: W by 17 (84%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 0-69 A #209 Jackson (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 27 (94%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 14-49 A #204 Chillicothe (7-2 D2 R8), pick: L by 31 (97%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 13-47 H #168 Hillsboro (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 28 (96%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #255 Washington Court House Washington (6-3 D4 R16), pick: L by 24 (94%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#66 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 2-8
1.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R11 playoffs

Win probabilities:
2W-94%, 3W-6%

Playoff scenarios
5.9% W 5.15 pts, out
94% L 1.50 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 85.1 (2-7, #542, D3 #94) out
W8: 83.9 (2-6, #553, D3 #97) out
W7: 84.8 (2-5, #547, D3 #96) out
W6: 85.0 (2-4, #538, D3 #94) out
W5: 91.7 (2-3, #473, D3 #90) out
W4: 92.3 (2-2, #473, D3 #91) 1% , proj. out
W3: 93.1 (2-1, #455, D3 #89) 1% , proj. out
W2: 94.2 (1-1, #441, D3 #90) 1% , proj. out
W1: 98.4 (1-0, #386, D3 #82) 3% , proj. out
W0: 93.0 (0-0, #497, D3 #92) 1% , proj. out
Last year 83.2 (1-9)