Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#539 Chillicothe Zane Trace (3-6) 85.3

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#87 of 107 in Division IV
#18 of 27 in Region 15
Eitel team page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 10-6 H #588 Circleville Logan Elm (1-8 D4 R15), pick: W by 8 (65%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 3-48 A #184 Waverly (8-1 D4 R16), pick: L by 10 (69%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 39-21 A #590 Greenfield McClain (2-7 D4 R16), pick: W by 19 (84%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 17-0 A #550 Williamsport Westfall (4-5 D4 R15), pick: L by 1 (52%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 0-21 H #377 Chillicothe Unioto (6-3 D4 R15), pick: L by 1 (51%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 10-13 H #447 Chillicothe Southeastern (6-3 D6 R23), pick: W by 6 (63%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 3-28 A #326 Bainbridge Paint Valley (9-0 D6 R23), pick: L by 14 (80%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 17-48 A #413 Frankfort Adena (7-1 D6 R23), pick: L by 4 (59%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 39-42 H #612 Piketon (1-8 D5 R20), pick: W by 18 (87%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #558 Chillicothe Huntington (5-4 D6 R23), pick: W by 4 (59%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#96 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 99
Projected record 4-6
7.46 Harbin points (divisor 99)
Projected out of R15 playoffs

Win probabilities:
3W-41%, 4W-59%

Playoff scenarios
59% W 7.46 pts, out
41% L 4.93 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 85.3 (3-6, #539, D4 #87) out
W8: 87.8 (3-5, #510, D4 #83) out
W7: 89.7 (3-4, #489, D4 #80) 13% (bubble if 6-4), proj. out
W6: 90.3 (3-3, #490, D4 #80) 25% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W5: 93.8 (3-2, #450, D4 #71) 48% (need 7-3), 3% home, proj. out
W4: 98.2 (3-1, #390, D4 #59) 84% (bubble if 6-4), 38% home, proj. #5
W3: 93.3 (2-1, #452, D4 #70) 44% (need 7-3), 11% home, proj. out
W2: 92.8 (1-1, #460, D4 #71) 32% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home, proj. out
W1: 96.3 (1-0, #417, D4 #61) 64% (bubble if 6-4), 27% home, proj. #5
W0: 97.2 (0-0, #439, D4 #72) 42% (bubble if 7-3), 15% home, proj. #8
Last year 95.6 (7-3)