Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#492 Pomeroy Meigs (3-6) 89.9

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#79 of 107 in Division IV
#16 of 27 in Region 15
Eitel team page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 34-47 A #236 Gallipolis Gallia Academy (8-1 D4 R15), pick: W by 1 (52%)
Sep 01 (W2) L 14-34 A #123 St Clairsville (9-0 D4 R15), pick: L by 24 (89%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 35-45 H #397 Logan (1-8 D2 R7), pick: L by 5 (61%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 27-21 A #531 McArthur Vinton County (3-6 D4 R15), pick: W by 1 (51%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 42-21 H #659 Bidwell River Valley (0-9 D5 R19), pick: W by 17 (83%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 22-30 A #468 Nelsonville-York (4-5 D6 R23), pick: W by 1 (51%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 20-50 H #310 The Plains Athens (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 12 (76%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 13-55 H Point Pleasant WV (7-0 D3)
Oct 19 (W9) W 28-26 H #535 Wellston (3-6 D5 R19), pick: W by 3 (57%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #603 Albany Alexander (4-5 D5 R19), pick: W by 11 (75%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#62 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 98
Projected record 4-6
7.16 Harbin points (divisor 98)
Projected out of R15 playoffs

Win probabilities:
3W-25%, 4W-75%

Playoff scenarios
75% W 7.16 pts, out
25% L 4.87 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 89.9 (3-6, #492, D4 #79) out
W8: 88.7 (2-6, #499, D4 #80) out
W7: 88.8 (2-5, #496, D4 #82) 1% (bubble if 5-5), proj. out
W6: 89.8 (2-4, #494, D4 #81) 8% (bubble if 5-5), 1% home, proj. out
W5: 93.0 (2-3, #464, D4 #75) 17% (need 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W4: 91.0 (1-3, #486, D4 #78) 15% (need 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 88.3 (0-3, #511, D4 #84) 20% (need 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W2: 89.7 (0-2, #499, D4 #80) 11% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W1: 88.8 (0-1, #509, D4 #80) 13% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home, proj. out
W0: 96.7 (0-0, #449, D4 #75) 28% (bubble if 6-4), 10% home, proj. out
Last year 95.1 (4-6)