Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#604 Utica (1-8) 77.5

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#101 of 107 in Division IV
#23 of 27 in Region 15
Eitel team page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 14-28 H #520 Centerburg (4-5 D6 R23), pick: L by 1 (50%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 10-51 H #393 Howard East Knox (7-2 D6 R23), pick: L by 9 (68%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 38-22 A #644 Fredericktown (1-8 D5 R19), pick: L by 20 (85%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 0-45 A #206 Newark Licking Valley (6-3 D4 R15), pick: L by 27 (93%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 0-40 H #103 Granville (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 28 (94%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 3-34 A #434 Newark Catholic (2-7 D6 R23), pick: L by 15 (81%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 20-29 A #458 Heath (4-5 D5 R19), pick: L by 14 (80%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 23-58 H #118 Johnstown-Monroe (8-1 D5 R19), pick: L by 31 (97%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 27-46 H #525 Johnstown Northridge (3-6 D5 R19), pick: L by 1 (52%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #600 Hebron Lakewood (1-8 D4 R15), pick: L by 2 (56%)

Lists on which the team appears
Biggest upsets

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#60 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 99
Projected record 1-9
0.85 Harbin points (divisor 99)
Projected out of R15 playoffs

Win probabilities:
1W-55%, 2W-45%

Playoff scenarios
45% W 1.35 pts, out
55% L 0.85 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 77.5 (1-8, #604, D4 #101) out
W8: 82.0 (1-7, #571, D4 #93) out
W7: 82.8 (1-6, #560, D4 #93) out
W6: 83.2 (1-5, #553, D4 #92) out
W5: 84.9 (1-4, #536, D4 #90) 1% , proj. out
W4: 85.0 (1-3, #545, D4 #90) 1% , proj. out
W3: 84.9 (1-2, #552, D4 #90) 1% , proj. out
W2: 76.8 (0-2, #617, D4 #104) out
W1: 80.3 (0-1, #595, D4 #101) 1% , proj. out
W0: 87.3 (0-0, #550, D4 #92) 1% , proj. out
Last year 84.1 (1-9)