Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#550 Williamsport Westfall (4-5) 83.9

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#90 of 107 in Division IV
#19 of 27 in Region 15
Eitel team page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 34-6 H #605 London Madison-Plains (3-6 D5 R20), pick: L by 5 (58%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 20-14 A #588 Circleville Logan Elm (1-8 D4 R15), pick: L by 1 (52%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 28-6 A #636 Circleville (0-9 D4 R15), pick: W by 2 (55%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 0-17 H #539 Chillicothe Zane Trace (3-6 D4 R15), pick: W by 1 (52%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 20-28 A #413 Frankfort Adena (7-1 D6 R23), pick: L by 2 (53%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 27-29 H #558 Chillicothe Huntington (5-4 D6 R23), pick: W by 8 (68%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 60-30 A #612 Piketon (1-8 D5 R20), pick: W by 7 (66%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 6-21 H #377 Chillicothe Unioto (6-3 D4 R15), pick: L by 13 (79%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 14-34 H #326 Bainbridge Paint Valley (9-0 D6 R23), pick: L by 19 (88%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #447 Chillicothe Southeastern (6-3 D6 R23), pick: L by 11 (76%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#107 of 107 in Division 4

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 99
Projected record 4-6
3.97 Harbin points (divisor 99)
Projected out of R15 playoffs

Win probabilities:
4W-76%, 5W-24%

Playoff scenarios
24% W 7.10 pts, out
76% L 3.97 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 83.9 (4-5, #550, D4 #90) out
W8: 82.9 (4-4, #562, D4 #91) 1% , proj. out
W7: 83.3 (4-3, #555, D4 #91) 3% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W6: 82.0 (3-3, #569, D4 #94) 1% , proj. out
W5: 85.4 (3-2, #534, D4 #89) 5% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W4: 88.5 (3-1, #508, D4 #84) 21% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home, proj. out
W3: 92.5 (3-0, #462, D4 #74) 57% (bubble if 7-3), 17% home, proj. #7
W2: 90.6 (2-0, #496, D4 #79) 39% (bubble if 7-3), 6% home, proj. #8
W1: 88.2 (1-0, #517, D4 #85) 30% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home, proj. out
W0: 82.1 (0-0, #602, D4 #102) 3% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 78.3 (3-7)