Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#364 Zanesville Maysville (5-4) 100.2

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#76 of 107 in Division III
#23 of 27 in Region 11
Eitel team page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 23 (W1) L 13-17 H #434 Newark Catholic (2-7 D6 R23), pick: W by 10 (69%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 0-49 H #107 Thornville Sheridan (8-1 D3 R11), pick: L by 16 (79%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 21-0 H #584 Crooksville (2-7 D6 R23), pick: W by 21 (87%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 20-8 A #440 New Lexington (5-4 D4 R15), pick: L by 7 (65%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 7-34 H #182 New Concord John Glenn (6-3 D4 R15), pick: W by 3 (56%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 56-6 A #620 McConnelsville Morgan (1-8 D4 R15), pick: W by 21 (89%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 49-6 A #689 Zanesville West Muskingum (0-9 D5 R19), pick: W by 30 (96%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 13-14 H #247 Duncan Falls Philo (6-3 D4 R15), pick: L by 8 (69%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 26-14 A #511 Coshocton (1-8 D5 R19), pick: W by 11 (75%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #109 Dresden Tri-Valley (8-1 D2 R7), pick: L by 23 (93%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#96 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 5-5
7.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R11 playoffs

Win probabilities:
5W-93%, 6W-7%

Playoff scenarios
7.3% W 11.65 pts, out
93% L 7.00 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 100.2 (5-4, #364, D3 #76) out
W8: 99.9 (4-4, #369, D3 #77) out
W7: 98.9 (4-3, #385, D3 #78) out
W6: 99.7 (3-3, #373, D3 #74) out
W5: 99.7 (2-3, #367, D3 #75) 1% , proj. out
W4: 104.1 (2-2, #312, D3 #60) 1% (need 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 99.3 (1-2, #378, D3 #76) 1% , proj. out
W2: 99.6 (0-2, #371, D3 #78) 1% , proj. out
W1: 103.4 (0-1, #315, D3 #70) 1% (bubble if 8-2), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 111.7 (0-0, #227, D3 #51) 11% (bubble if 8-2), 2% home, proj. out
Last year 113.4 (7-3)