Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#685 Newcomerstown (0-5) 64.8

Updated 22-Sep-2018 10:02PM
Week 5 in progress
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#106 of 110 in Division VI
#27 of 28 in Region 21
Eitel team page
Region 21 projections
Region 21 playoff probabilities
Region 21 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 6-36 A #553 Barnesville (2-3 D6 R23), pick: L by 12 (71%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 9-42 H #506 Lore City Buckeye Trail (3-2 D6 R23), pick: L by 18 (82%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 0-6 H #562 Sugar Grove Berne Union (4-1 D7 R27), pick: L by 9 (67%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 21-42 A #633 Malvern (2-3 D7 R25), pick: L by 6 (62%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 14-21 H #637 New Philadelphia Tuscarawas Central Catholic (2-3 D7 R25), pick: L by 8 (68%)
Sep 28 (W6) A #514 Zoarville Tuscarawas Valley (2-3 D5 R19), pick: L by 25 (93%)
Oct 05 (W7) H #103 Gnadenhutten Indian Valley (5-0 D4 R15), pick: L by 42 (99%)
Oct 12 (W8) A #593 Uhrichsville Claymont (0-5 D4 R15), pick: L by 17 (84%)
Oct 19 (W9) A #308 Sugarcreek Garaway (5-0 D6 R21), pick: L by 35 (98%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #301 West Lafayette Ridgewood (5-0 D5 R19), pick: L by 33 (97%)

Lists on which the team appears
Winning & losing streaks

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#95 of 110 in Division 6

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 0-10
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R21 playoffs

Win probabilities:
0W-75%, 1W-23%, 2W-2%

Best realistic scenario
1.0% LLLLW 3.85 pts, out

Worst realistic scenario
75% LLLLL 0.00 pts, out

Most likely other scenarios
15% LLWLL 0.50 pts, out
6.8% WLLLL 1.75 pts, out
1.2% WLWLL 2.25 pts, out
0.5% LLLWL 3.40 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W4: 64.3 (0-4, #687, D6 #107) out
W3: 68.8 (0-3, #669, D6 #101) out
W2: 68.6 (0-2, #676, D6 #104) out
W1: 69.3 (0-1, #675, D6 #105) out
W0: 74.5 (0-0, #662, D6 #102) 1% , proj. out
Last year 65.5 (0-10)