Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#687 New London (0-5) 64.3

Updated 22-Sep-2018 10:02PM
Week 5 in progress
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#107 of 110 in Division VI
#28 of 28 in Region 22
Eitel team page
Region 22 projections
Region 22 playoff probabilities
Region 22 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 13-47 H #445 Rocky River Lutheran West (4-1 D4 R14), pick: L by 6 (62%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 7-34 A #475 Oberlin Firelands (2-3 D4 R14), pick: L by 27 (91%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 22-34 A #643 Wellington (1-4 D6 R21), pick: W by 2 (55%)
Sep 15 (W4) L 0-61 A #376 Norwalk St Paul (4-1 D7 R26), pick: L by 32 (96%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 7-42 H #586 Collins Western Reserve (1-4 D6 R22), pick: L by 9 (70%)
Sep 28 (W6) H #498 Monroeville (2-3 D7 R26), pick: L by 22 (90%)
Oct 05 (W7) A #578 Plymouth (2-3 D7 R25), pick: L by 16 (82%)
Oct 12 (W8) H #479 Ashland Crestview (2-3 D6 R22), pick: L by 23 (91%)
Oct 19 (W9) H #416 Ashland Mapleton (4-1 D7 R25), pick: L by 26 (93%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #430 Greenwich South Central (5-0 D7 R26), pick: L by 26 (93%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#59 of 110 in Division 6

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 0-10
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R22 playoffs

Win probabilities:
0W-69%, 1W-27%, 2W-4%

Best realistic scenario
2.3% LLLWL 2.95 pts, out

Worst realistic scenario
69% LLLLL 0.00 pts, out

Most likely other scenarios
11% LWLLL 1.45 pts, out
6.3% WLLLL 1.85 pts, out
5.0% LLWLL 1.90 pts, out
(6% some other outcome)

Weekly ranking & projection history
W4: 66.9 (0-4, #676, D6 #104) out
W3: 66.8 (0-3, #678, D6 #105) out
W2: 72.4 (0-2, #649, D6 #96) 1% , proj. out
W1: 71.7 (0-1, #656, D6 #101) 1% , proj. out
W0: 77.8 (0-0, #637, D6 #91) 1% , proj. out
Last year 71.3 (1-9)