Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#607 Cardington-Lincoln (1-8) 77.1

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#50 of 108 in Division VII
#10 of 26 in Region 27
Eitel team page
Region 27 projections
Region 27 playoff probabilities
Region 27 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 20-35 H #528 Plymouth (4-5 D7 R25), pick: W by 2 (54%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 17-38 A #546 Bucyrus (3-6 D5 R18), pick: L by 3 (57%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 12-28 H #431 North Robinson Colonel Crawford (5-4 D6 R22), pick: L by 20 (86%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 7-35 A #520 Centerburg (4-5 D6 R23), pick: L by 24 (90%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 17-47 H #393 Howard East Knox (7-2 D6 R23), pick: L by 25 (92%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 20-46 A #258 Galion Northmor (9-0 D6 R23), pick: L by 32 (97%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 14-27 H #442 Danville (4-5 D7 R27), pick: L by 21 (89%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 7-41 H #253 Marengo Highland (8-1 D4 R14), pick: L by 33 (98%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 28-6 A #644 Fredericktown (1-8 D5 R19), pick: L by 9 (72%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #678 Mount Gilead (0-9 D6 R23), pick: W by 10 (74%)

Lists on which the team appears
Toughest schedules

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#8 of 108 in Division 7

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 2-8
1.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R27 playoffs

Win probabilities:
1W-26%, 2W-74%

Playoff scenarios
74% W 1.25 pts, out
26% L 0.85 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 77.1 (1-8, #607, D7 #50) out
W8: 71.6 (0-8, #646, D7 #67) out
W7: 69.8 (0-7, #659, D7 #72) out
W6: 68.4 (0-6, #667, D7 #76) out
W5: 68.8 (0-5, #667, D7 #76) out
W4: 69.7 (0-4, #665, D7 #74) 1% , proj. out
W3: 69.3 (0-3, #666, D7 #73) 1% , proj. out
W2: 70.8 (0-2, #661, D7 #68) 1% , proj. out
W1: 76.8 (0-1, #629, D7 #55) 1% , proj. out
W0: 84.7 (0-0, #579, D7 #37) 9% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home, proj. out
Last year 86.1 (3-7)