Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#662 Lowellville (3-6) 68.9

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#75 of 108 in Division VII
#22 of 27 in Region 25
Eitel team page
Region 25 projections
Region 25 playoff probabilities
Region 25 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 14-21 H #632 Leetonia (4-5 D7 R25), pick: W by 15 (77%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 6-41 A #479 Windham (8-1 D7 R25), pick: L by 20 (85%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 23-36 H #596 Richmond Heights (3-6 D7 R25), pick: L by 14 (77%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 34-6 A #690 Mineral Ridge (1-8 D6 R21), pick: L by 3 (56%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 28-6 H #695 Atwater Waterloo (2-7 D6 R21), pick: W by 4 (59%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 7-60 H #347 Berlin Center Western Reserve (7-2 D6 R21), pick: L by 30 (96%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 41-0 H #714 Sebring McKinley (0-9 D7 R25), pick: W by 23 (91%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 0-33 A #633 North Jackson Jackson-Milton (4-5 D7 R25), pick: W by 2 (56%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 6-58 A #196 New Middletown Springfield (8-1 D6 R21), pick: L by 37 (99%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #180 McDonald (9-0 D6 R21), pick: L by 37 (99%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#77 of 108 in Division 7

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 3-7
2.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R25 playoffs

Win probabilities:
3W-100%

Playoff chance
1% now
0% with a loss in next game

Playoff scenarios
0.2% W 6.55 pts, 18% in (out, range #7-out)
100% L 2.60 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 68.9 (3-6, #662, D7 #75) 1% , proj. out
W8: 68.9 (3-5, #666, D7 #77) 1% , proj. out
W7: 72.3 (3-4, #644, D7 #65) 1% , proj. out
W6: 73.0 (2-4, #638, D7 #64) 1% , proj. out
W5: 73.6 (2-3, #634, D7 #62) 1% (bubble if 5-5), 1% home, proj. out
W4: 72.3 (1-3, #648, D7 #65) 1% , proj. out
W3: 67.4 (0-3, #675, D7 #78) 1% , proj. out
W2: 67.2 (0-2, #683, D7 #79) 1% , proj. out
W1: 65.7 (0-1, #688, D7 #83) 1% , proj. out
W0: 75.7 (0-0, #650, D7 #63) 7% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 75.4 (4-6)