Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#682 Newbury (1-8) 63.9

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#85 of 108 in Division VII
#24 of 27 in Region 25
Eitel team page
Region 25 projections
Region 25 playoff probabilities
Region 25 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 7-14 H #639 Fairport Harbor Fairport Harding (3-6 D7 R25), pick: W by 5 (59%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 6-26 A #622 Ashtabula St John School (6-3 D7 R25), pick: L by 11 (71%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 6-29 H #398 Hanoverton United (7-2 D6 R21), pick: L by 29 (94%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 6-30 H #567 Ashtabula Edgewood (3-6 D4 R13), pick: L by 22 (88%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 14-29 A #619 Newton Falls (4-5 D6 R21), pick: L by 16 (83%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 7-32 A #626 Southington Chalker (6-3 D7 R25), pick: L by 8 (69%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 6-33 A #479 Windham (8-1 D7 R25), pick: L by 27 (95%)
Oct 12 (W8) W 36-18 H #694 Andover Pymatuning Valley (2-7 D6 R21), pick: L by 2 (54%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 3-35 H #470 Orwell Grand Valley (7-2 D5 R17), pick: L by 25 (94%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #696 Vienna Mathews (1-8 D7 R25), pick: W by 6 (64%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#59 of 108 in Division 7

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 2-8
1.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R25 playoffs

Win probabilities:
1W-36%, 2W-64%

Playoff scenarios
64% W 1.85 pts, out
36% L 1.15 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 63.9 (1-8, #682, D7 #85) out
W8: 63.6 (1-7, #687, D7 #88) out
W7: 58.5 (0-7, #700, D7 #95) out
W6: 58.8 (0-6, #700, D7 #94) 1% , proj. out
W5: 61.6 (0-5, #694, D7 #89) 1% , proj. out
W4: 63.2 (0-4, #692, D7 #89) 1% (bubble if 4-6), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 61.7 (0-3, #695, D7 #90) 1% , proj. out
W2: 59.9 (0-2, #698, D7 #91) 1% , proj. out
W1: 62.1 (0-1, #696, D7 #90) 2% (bubble if 5-5), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 68.6 (0-0, #681, D7 #77) 6% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 70.6 (4-6)