Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#621 Wellsville (2-7) 75.1

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#57 of 108 in Division VII
#14 of 27 in Region 25
Eitel team page
Region 25 projections
Region 25 playoff probabilities
Region 25 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 23 (W1) L 6-35 H #515 East Liverpool Beaver Local (3-6 D4 R13), pick: L by 12 (72%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 7-36 A #524 Richmond Edison (4-5 D5 R19), pick: W by 4 (58%)
Sep 07 (W3) W 41-40 A #640 Malvern (3-6 D7 R25), pick: L by 11 (72%)
Sep 14 (W4) W 16-14 H #610 Lisbon David Anderson (3-6 D7 R25), pick: L by 8 (67%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 7-39 A #499 East Palestine (5-4 D5 R17), pick: L by 11 (74%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 26-35 H #398 Hanoverton United (7-2 D6 R21), pick: L by 13 (78%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 12-48 H #428 Columbiana (5-4 D6 R21), pick: L by 18 (86%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 29-44 A #341 Salineville Southern (8-1 D6 R21), pick: L by 23 (92%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 7-10 H #632 Leetonia (4-5 D7 R25), pick: W by 7 (66%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #563 Toronto (3-6 D7 R25), pick: L by 9 (72%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#30 of 108 in Division 7

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 2-8
2.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R25 playoffs

Win probabilities:
2W-72%, 3W-28%

Playoff scenarios
28% W 4.35 pts, out
72% L 2.90 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 75.1 (2-7, #621, D7 #57) out
W8: 77.7 (2-6, #604, D7 #50) 1% , proj. out
W7: 77.3 (2-5, #606, D7 #51) 6% (need 5-5), 1% home, proj. out
W6: 77.8 (2-4, #603, D7 #50) 10% (need 5-5), 1% home, proj. out
W5: 77.5 (2-3, #603, D7 #50) 22% (bubble if 4-6), 1% home, proj. out
W4: 78.8 (2-2, #602, D7 #49) 33% (need 5-5), 6% home, proj. #8
W3: 75.8 (1-2, #623, D7 #54) 10% (need 5-5), 1% home, proj. out
W2: 69.9 (0-2, #667, D7 #71) 1% , proj. out
W1: 77.0 (0-1, #627, D7 #54) 15% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home, proj. out
W0: 81.6 (0-0, #604, D7 #46) 29% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home, proj. out
Last year 76.7 (3-7)