Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#663 McGuffey Upper Scioto Valley (2-7) 68.4

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#76 of 108 in Division VII
#19 of 27 in Region 28
Eitel team page
Region 28 projections
Region 28 playoff probabilities
Region 28 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 16-30 A #599 Ada (2-7 D6 R22), pick: L by 24 (87%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 48-41 H #668 Cory-Rawson (3-6 D7 R26), pick: W by 10 (70%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 0-50 A #514 Bellefontaine Benjamin Logan (2-7 D4 R16), pick: L by 20 (86%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 6-12 H #637 Waynesfield-Goshen (4-5 D7 R28), pick: W by 8 (68%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 44-6 A #704 Mt Victory Ridgemont (1-8 D7 R28), pick: W by 12 (75%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 6-40 A #509 Lima Perry (6-3 D6 R24), pick: L by 21 (90%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 0-40 H #504 De Graff Riverside (6-3 D7 R28), pick: L by 11 (74%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 6-52 A #494 Sidney Lehman Catholic (6-3 D7 R28), pick: L by 15 (82%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 14-46 H #556 Marion Elgin (5-4 D6 R23), pick: L by 10 (73%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #623 Dola Hardin Northern (4-5 D7 R28), pick: L by 8 (69%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#62 of 108 in Division 7

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 2-8
2.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R28 playoffs

Win probabilities:
2W-69%, 3W-31%

Playoff scenarios
31% W 3.85 pts, out
69% L 2.10 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 68.4 (2-7, #663, D7 #76) out
W8: 70.5 (2-6, #655, D7 #72) out
W7: 72.0 (2-5, #649, D7 #68) 1% , proj. out
W6: 71.5 (2-4, #653, D7 #69) 2% , proj. out
W5: 73.3 (2-3, #639, D7 #65) 5% (need 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W4: 71.3 (1-3, #655, D7 #69) 1% , proj. out
W3: 75.6 (1-2, #625, D7 #55) 19% (need 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W2: 76.8 (1-1, #616, D7 #54) 30% (need 6-4), 3% home, proj. out
W1: 78.9 (0-1, #606, D7 #47) 33% (need 6-4), 5% home, proj. #8
W0: 79.6 (0-0, #621, D7 #53) 32% (need 6-4), 6% home, proj. #8
Last year 76.8 (4-6)