Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#706 Bowerston Conotton Valley (1-8) 53.0

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#99 of 108 in Division VII
#26 of 27 in Region 25
Eitel team page
Region 25 projections
Region 25 playoff probabilities
Region 25 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 8-26 A #670 Strasburg-Franklin (1-8 D7 R25), pick: L by 20 (83%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 6-30 H #640 Malvern (3-6 D7 R25), pick: L by 19 (84%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 10-14 H #695 Atwater Waterloo (2-7 D6 R21), pick: L by 14 (76%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 6-35 A #626 Southington Chalker (6-3 D7 R25), pick: L by 12 (75%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 14-40 H #653 Bridgeport (3-6 D6 R23), pick: L by 9 (71%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 0-34 H #581 Caldwell (5-4 D7 R27), pick: L by 27 (94%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 14-38 A Cameron WV (9-0 D7)
Oct 12 (W8) W 21-14 A #711 Beallsville (1-8 D7 R27), pick: L by 5 (63%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 0-20 A Clay-Battelle WV (5-3 D7)
Oct 26 (W10) H Madonna WV, [L by 4, 61%]

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#104 of 108 in Division 7

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 97
Projected record 1-9
1.07 Harbin points (divisor 97)
Projected out of R25 playoffs

Win probabilities:
1W-67%, 2W-33%

Playoff scenarios
33% W 2.50 pts, out
67% L 1.07 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 53.0 (1-8, #706, D7 #99) out
W8: 53.3 (1-7, #707, D7 #99) out
W7: 51.0 (0-7, #710, D7 #102) out
W6: 51.7 (0-6, #709, D7 #101) out
W5: 51.9 (0-5, #711, D7 #103) 1% , proj. out
W4: 54.7 (0-4, #710, D7 #102) 1% , proj. out
W3: 57.0 (0-3, #707, D7 #100) 35% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home, proj. #8
W2: 56.7 (0-2, #707, D7 #99) 33% (need 5-5), 5% home, proj. out
W1: 57.4 (0-1, #707, D7 #99) 31% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home, proj. out
W0: 60.0 (0-0, #707, D7 #100) 24% (need 6-4), 5% home, proj. out
Last year 57.4 (1-9)