Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#679 Willow Wood Symmes Valley (4-5) 64.2

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#84 of 108 in Division VII
#18 of 26 in Region 27
Eitel team page
Region 27 projections
Region 27 playoff probabilities
Region 27 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 25 (W1) W 14-12 H #685 Crown City South Gallia (3-6 D7 R27), pick: W by 9 (67%)
Sep 01 (W2) W 19-13 A #710 Lancaster Fairfield Christian Academy (0-9 D7 R27), pick: W by 14 (76%)
Sep 08 (W3) L 0-49 A #496 Chesapeake (5-4 D5 R19), pick: L by 12 (73%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 0-40 H #446 Oak Hill (7-2 D5 R19), pick: L by 22 (89%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 15-22 A #647 Franklin Furnace Green (8-1 D7 R27), pick: W by 5 (62%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 12-38 H #635 Beaver Eastern (4-5 D6 R23), pick: L by 6 (65%)
Oct 05 (W7) W 15-14 A #699 Portsmouth Notre Dame (2-7 D7 R27), pick: L by 2 (56%)
Oct 12 (W8) W 42-6 H #713 Manchester (2-7 D7 R27), pick: W by 16 (83%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 18-22 A #666 Portsmouth Sciotoville Community (3-6 D7 R27), pick: L by 4 (59%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #680 McDermott Northwest (1-8 D5 R20), pick: W by 2 (54%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#102 of 108 in Division 7

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 97
Projected record 5-5
4.79 Harbin points (divisor 97)
Projected out of R27 playoffs

Win probabilities:
4W-46%, 5W-54%

Playoff scenarios
54% W 4.79 pts, out
46% L 3.98 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 64.2 (4-5, #679, D7 #84) out
W8: 64.6 (4-4, #680, D7 #85) out
W7: 64.4 (3-4, #683, D7 #86) 1% , proj. out
W6: 61.9 (2-4, #692, D7 #88) 1% , proj. out
W5: 66.0 (2-3, #680, D7 #85) 2% , proj. out
W4: 70.7 (2-2, #657, D7 #70) 39% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W3: 71.6 (2-1, #655, D7 #67) 32% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home, proj. out
W2: 71.8 (2-0, #655, D7 #66) 33% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home, proj. out
W1: 73.3 (1-0, #646, D7 #63) 22% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home, proj. out
W0: 74.6 (0-0, #660, D7 #66) 20% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home, proj. out
Last year 72.0 (6-4)