Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#699 Portsmouth Notre Dame (2-7) 59.4

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#93 of 108 in Division VII
#21 of 26 in Region 27
Eitel team page
Region 27 projections
Region 27 playoff probabilities
Region 27 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 6-36 A #617 Racine Southern (6-3 D7 R27), pick: L by 18 (80%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 26-35 H #625 Zanesville Bishop Rosecrans (5-4 D7 R27), pick: L by 20 (85%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 8-30 A #651 Fayetteville (5-4 D6 R24), pick: L by 14 (77%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 8-50 A #635 Beaver Eastern (4-5 D6 R23), pick: L by 5 (62%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 7-40 A #446 Oak Hill (7-2 D5 R19), pick: L by 32 (97%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 16-8 H #647 Franklin Furnace Green (8-1 D7 R27), pick: L by 9 (71%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 14-15 H #679 Willow Wood Symmes Valley (4-5 D7 R27), pick: W by 2 (56%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 14-35 A #680 McDermott Northwest (1-8 D5 R20), pick: L by 1 (53%)
Oct 19 (W9) W 55-0 H #713 Manchester (2-7 D7 R27), pick: W by 11 (75%)
Oct 26 (W10) H #666 Portsmouth Sciotoville Community (3-6 D7 R27), pick: L by 7 (68%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#97 of 108 in Division 7

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 98
Projected record 2-8
3.81 Harbin points (divisor 98)
Projected out of R27 playoffs

Win probabilities:
2W-68%, 3W-32%

Playoff scenarios
33% W 5.34 pts, out
68% L 3.81 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 59.4 (2-7, #699, D7 #93) out
W8: 58.4 (1-7, #701, D7 #95) out
W7: 61.5 (1-6, #692, D7 #90) out
W6: 62.8 (1-5, #690, D7 #87) 1% , proj. out
W5: 58.8 (0-5, #702, D7 #96) 1% , proj. out
W4: 58.6 (0-4, #703, D7 #97) 1% , proj. out
W3: 61.9 (0-3, #693, D7 #89) 1% , proj. out
W2: 63.9 (0-2, #689, D7 #85) 3% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W1: 61.6 (0-1, #697, D7 #91) 1% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 65.4 (0-0, #688, D7 #83) 5% (bubble if 6-4), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 57.9 (2-8)