Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#615 Dayton Ponitz Tech (2-7) 75.9

Updated 20-Oct-2018 11:30PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#102 of 107 in Division III
#25 of 26 in Region 12
Eitel team page
Region 12 projections
Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 10-27 A #363 Columbus Beechcroft (6-3 D3 R11), pick: L by 26 (89%)
Aug 30 (W2) L 6-8 A #616 Cincinnati Hughes (3-6 D3 R12), pick: W by 12 (73%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 14-20 A #577 Miamisburg Dayton Christian (7-2 D6 R24), pick: W by 1 (50%)
Sep 13 (W4) L 33-42 A #374 Dayton Dunbar (5-4 D3 R12), pick: L by 26 (93%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 18-20 H #582 Dayton Meadowdale (2-6 D4 R16), pick: L by 4 (58%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 26-47 A #423 Troy Christian (7-2 D6 R24), pick: L by 18 (85%)
Oct 04 (W7) W 28-6 A #698 Cincinnati Gamble Montessori (3-6 D7 R28), pick: W by 9 (71%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 8-43 H #155 Columbus Northland (7-2 D2 R7), pick: L by 33 (98%)
Oct 19 (W9) L by forfeit H #303 Dayton Belmont (3-6 D2 R8)
Oct 27 (W10) H #462 Dayton Thurgood Marshall (3-6 D3 R12), pick: L by 15 (82%)

Lists on which the team appears
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#102 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 97
Projected record 1-9
1.54 Harbin points (divisor 97)
Projected out of R12 playoffs

Win probabilities:
1W-82%, 2W-18%

Playoff scenarios
18% W 3.74 pts, out
82% L 1.54 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 75.9 (1-8, #615, D3 #102) out
W8: 76.7 (1-7, #611, D3 #102) out
W7: 76.7 (1-6, #614, D3 #102) out
W6: 75.3 (0-6, #621, D3 #102) out
W5: 76.8 (0-5, #616, D3 #103) out
W4: 77.0 (0-4, #618, D3 #101) 1% , proj. out
W3: 75.0 (0-3, #632, D3 #104) 1% , proj. out
W2: 77.2 (0-2, #614, D3 #104) 1% , proj. out
W1: 85.8 (0-1, #548, D3 #97) 2% (bubble if 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 86.6 (0-0, #557, D3 #97) 2% (need 7-3), 1% home, proj. out
Last year 85.2 (3-7)