Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#675 Cincinnati Hillcrest Academy (3-5) 65.8

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#83 of 108 in Division VII
#21 of 27 in Region 28
Eitel team page
Region 28 projections
Region 28 playoff probabilities
Region 28 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 6-49 A #502 Cincinnati Miami Valley Christian Academy (7-1 D7 R28), pick: L by 13 (73%)
Sep 01 (W2) L 6-30 A #660 Lockland (3-6 D7 R28), pick: L by 14 (75%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 12-27 A #576 Cincinnati Country Day (6-0 D6 R24), pick: L by 22 (88%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 56-58 A #651 Fayetteville (5-4 D6 R24), pick: L by 25 (91%)
Sep 28 (W6) W 70-0 A #713 Manchester (2-7 D7 R27), pick: W by 4 (59%)
Oct 04 (W7) W 42-6 A #686 Cincinnati Riverview East Academy (3-6 D6 R24), pick: L by 7 (65%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 8-56 A #423 Troy Christian (7-2 D6 R24), pick: L by 29 (96%)
Oct 18 (W9) W 34-0 A Dohn Community OH (0-6 D5)
Oct 25 (W10) A #717 Dayton Jefferson Township (0-9 D7 R28), pick: W by 20 (89%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#90 of 108 in Division 7

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 78
Projected record 4-5
4.09 Harbin points (divisor 78)
Projected out of R28 playoffs

Win probabilities:
3W-11%, 4W-89%

Playoff scenarios
89% W 4.09 pts, out
11% L 3.71 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 65.8 (3-5, #675, D7 #83) out
W8: 64.5 (2-5, #681, D7 #86) out
W7: 65.2 (2-4, #679, D7 #84) 1% , proj. out
W6: 61.2 (1-4, #694, D7 #89) 1% , proj. out
W5: 59.0 (0-4, #701, D7 #95) 1% , proj. out
W4: 59.1 (0-4, #701, D7 #95) 1% , proj. out
W3: 55.0 (0-3, #710, D7 #102) 1% , proj. out
W2: 55.2 (0-2, #710, D7 #102) 1% , proj. out
W1: 57.3 (0-1, #708, D7 #100) 4% (bubble if 5-4), 1% home, proj. out
W0: 61.7 (0-0, #702, D7 #95) 13% (bubble if 5-4), 2% home, proj. out
Last year 60.6 (3-6)