Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#705 Morral Ridgedale (2-5) 53.9

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#98 of 108 in Division VII
#23 of 26 in Region 27
Eitel team page
Region 27 projections
Region 27 playoff probabilities
Region 27 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) L 24-27 A #704 Mt Victory Ridgemont (1-8 D7 R28), pick: L by 3 (56%)
Aug 31 (W2) W 28-20 H #715 Vanlue (0-9 D7 R26), pick: L by 2 (54%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 0-24 A #637 Waynesfield-Goshen (4-5 D7 R28), pick: L by 15 (78%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 0-50 H #561 Lancaster Fisher Catholic (5-3 D7 R27), pick: L by 30 (95%)
Sep 21 (W5) W 6-0 A #710 Lancaster Fairfield Christian Academy (0-9 D7 R27), pick: L by 8 (67%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 8-28 H #622 Ashtabula St John School (6-3 D7 R25), pick: L by 21 (89%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 7-32 H #548 Sugar Grove Berne Union (7-2 D7 R27), pick: L by 27 (95%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #672 Grove City Christian (3-6 D7 R27), pick: L by 15 (82%)

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#105 of 108 in Division 7

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 78
Projected record 2-6
0.88 Harbin points (divisor 78)
Projected out of R27 playoffs

Win probabilities:
2W-82%, 3W-18%

Playoff scenarios
18% W 2.66 pts, out
82% L 0.88 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 53.9 (2-5, #705, D7 #98) out
W8: 54.0 (2-4, #705, D7 #98) out
W7: 53.8 (2-4, #706, D7 #99) out
W6: 53.7 (2-4, #707, D7 #99) out
W5: 55.0 (2-3, #707, D7 #99) 1% , proj. out
W4: 52.4 (1-3, #713, D7 #105) 1% , proj. out
W3: 52.7 (1-2, #712, D7 #104) 1% , proj. out
W2: 54.1 (1-1, #712, D7 #103) 1% , proj. out
W1: 50.3 (0-1, #716, D7 #107) 1% , proj. out
W0: 55.0 (0-0, #715, D7 #107) 1% , proj. out
Last year 55.0 (0-0)