Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


#355 Delaware Olentangy Berlin (1-8) 100.9

Updated 22-Oct-2018 5:56PM
Week 9 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#73 of 107 in Division III
#20 of 27 in Region 11
Eitel team page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Regional champion probabilities

Schedule and results
Aug 24 (W1) W 53-22 H #534 Columbus Briggs (2-7 D2 R8), pick: L by 5 (59%)
Aug 31 (W2) L 13-27 A #137 Canal Winchester (8-1 D2 R7), pick: L by 10 (68%)
Sep 07 (W3) L 14-32 H #81 Toledo St John's Jesuit (7-2 D2 R6), pick: L by 20 (85%)
Sep 14 (W4) L 7-38 A #143 Delaware Hayes (6-3 D1 R2), pick: L by 26 (92%)
Sep 21 (W5) L 13-31 A #260 Columbus Worthington Kilbourne (1-8 D2 R7), pick: L by 10 (72%)
Sep 28 (W6) L 21-24 H #60 Hilliard Darby (7-2 D1 R3), pick: L by 31 (97%)
Oct 05 (W7) L 20-48 A #25 Hilliard Bradley (8-1 D1 R3), pick: L by 32 (97%)
Oct 12 (W8) L 20-38 H #102 Dublin Scioto (7-2 D2 R8), pick: L by 21 (90%)
Oct 19 (W9) L 17-37 H #99 Dublin Jerome (4-5 D1 R2), pick: L by 22 (91%)
Oct 26 (W10) A #237 Thomas Worthington (2-7 D1 R2), pick: L by 10 (74%)

Lists on which the team appears
Toughest schedules
Key games by region

Strength of schedule
(no future games or playoff games)
#4 of 107 in Division 3

Regular season projections
Final L2 divisor 100
Projected record 1-9
2.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
Projected out of R11 playoffs

Win probabilities:
1W-75%, 2W-25%

Playoff scenarios
25% W 4.05 pts, out
75% L 2.20 pts, out

Weekly ranking & projection history
W9: 100.9 (1-8, #355, D3 #73) out
W8: 100.8 (1-7, #351, D3 #72) out
W7: 100.3 (1-6, #362, D3 #73) out
W6: 99.4 (1-5, #377, D3 #75) out
W5: 93.5 (1-4, #454, D3 #87) out
W4: 95.8 (1-3, #426, D3 #84) out
W3: 95.5 (1-2, #423, D3 #85) out
W2: 95.6 (1-1, #423, D3 #88) 1% , proj. out
W1: 96.3 (1-0, #419, D3 #86) 1% , proj. out
W0: 90.0 (0-0, #526, D2 #106) 1% , proj. out
Last year 90.0 (0-0)