Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50

Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions


Toughest schedules

Updated 02-Nov-2019 10:01PM
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Includes all regular-season games, including non-OHSAA, but no playoffs

SOS rating scale is 0 (certain win) to 1 (certain loss),
from the perspective of an average team in the group considered
Expected win percentage would be 1 minus this number

Toughest schedules overall, after week #10
1) Cincinnati St Xavier (8-2 D1 R4) 0.975
2) Cincinnati Oak Hills (0-10 D1 R4) 0.955
3) Cincinnati Elder (8-2 D1 R4) 0.955
4) Mentor (10-0 D1 R1) 0.948
5) Cincinnati Winton Woods (6-3 D2 R8) 0.937
6) Clayton Northmont (6-4 D1 R2) 0.935
7) Lakewood St Edward (9-1 D1 R1) 0.935
8) Huber Heights Wayne (3-7 D1 R2) 0.932
9) Cincinnati La Salle (8-2 D2 R8) 0.931
10) Medina (7-3 D1 R1) 0.929
11) Elyria (1-9 D1 R1) 0.927
12) Grove City (1-9 D1 R3) 0.926
13) Shaker Heights (2-8 D1 R1) 0.926
14) Pickerington North (6-4 D1 R3) 0.925
15) Powell Olentangy Liberty (9-1 D1 R3) 0.921
16) Gahanna Lincoln (3-7 D1 R3) 0.920
17) Lyndhurst Brush (0-10 D2 R5) 0.918
18) Springfield (9-1 D1 R2) 0.916
19) Lewis Center Olentangy (5-5 D2 R7) 0.914
20) Strongsville (5-5 D1 R1) 0.913
21) Euclid (8-2 D1 R1) 0.909
22) Middletown (1-9 D1 R4) 0.907
23) Solon (8-2 D1 R1) 0.907
24) Columbus Worthington Kilbourne (1-9 D2 R7) 0.906
25) Pickerington Central (9-1 D1 R3) 0.903

Toughest schedules in Division 1
1) Cleveland St Ignatius (5-5 D1 R1) 0.771
2) Cincinnati St Xavier (8-2 D1 R4) 0.758
3) Cincinnati Archbishop Moeller (2-8 D1 R4) 0.748
4) Cincinnati Elder (8-2 D1 R4) 0.733
5) Mentor (10-0 D1 R1) 0.703
6) Shaker Heights (2-8 D1 R1) 0.677
7) Gahanna Lincoln (3-7 D1 R3) 0.659
8) Cincinnati Oak Hills (0-10 D1 R4) 0.657
9) Middletown (1-9 D1 R4) 0.653
10) Lakewood St Edward (9-1 D1 R1) 0.651

Toughest schedules in Division 2
1) Cincinnati La Salle (8-2 D2 R8) 0.842
2) Cincinnati Winton Woods (6-3 D2 R8) 0.840
3) Lewis Center Olentangy (5-5 D2 R7) 0.787
4) Lyndhurst Brush (0-10 D2 R5) 0.779
5) Cuyahoga Falls Walsh Jesuit (1-9 D2 R5) 0.757
6) Columbus Worthington Kilbourne (1-9 D2 R7) 0.755
7) Westerville South (6-4 D2 R7) 0.745
8) Fremont Ross (1-9 D2 R7) 0.739
9) Lima Senior (3-7 D2 R7) 0.724
10) Painesville Riverside (4-6 D2 R5) 0.714

Toughest schedules in Division 3
1) Columbus Bishop Hartley (9-1 D3 R11) 0.783
2) Chardon Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (3-7 D3 R9) 0.767
3) Trotwood-Madison (7-3 D3 R12) 0.749
4) Cincinnati Northwest (1-9 D3 R12) 0.727
5) Chardon (8-2 D3 R9) 0.715
6) Akron St Vincent-St Mary (8-2 D3 R9) 0.715
7) Franklin Bishop Fenwick (5-5 D3 R12) 0.712
8) Columbus Bishop Watterson (7-3 D3 R11) 0.705
9) Sandusky (7-3 D3 R10) 0.701
10) Louisville (5-5 D3 R9) 0.697

Toughest schedules in Division 4
1) Youngstown Ursuline (2-8 D4 R13) 0.821
2) Cincinnati Archbishop McNicholas (3-7 D4 R16) 0.783
3) Youngstown Cardinal Mooney (4-6 D4 R13) 0.725
4) Mentor Lake Catholic (4-6 D4 R13) 0.715
5) Clyde (6-4 D4 R14) 0.661
6) Sandusky Perkins (3-7 D4 R14) 0.658
7) Cuyahoga Falls Cuyahoga Valley Christian Academy (7-3 D4 R13) 0.652
8) Bellville Clear Fork (6-4 D4 R14) 0.636
9) Ontario (3-7 D4 R14) 0.631
10) Navarre Fairless (4-6 D4 R13) 0.629

Toughest schedules in Division 5
1) Akron Manchester (7-3 D5 R17) 0.753
2) Lima Bath (3-7 D5 R18) 0.737
3) Canfield South Range (7-3 D5 R17) 0.730
4) Canton Central Catholic (6-4 D5 R17) 0.724
5) Baltimore Liberty Union (0-10 D5 R19) 0.722
6) Versailles (3-7 D5 R20) 0.716
7) Massillon Tuslaw (4-6 D5 R17) 0.714
8) Wheelersburg (7-3 D5 R19) 0.694
9) Jefferson Area (1-9 D5 R17) 0.691
10) Orrville (9-1 D5 R18) 0.681

Toughest schedules in Division 6
1) St Henry (1-9 D6 R23) 0.877
2) Coldwater (8-2 D6 R23) 0.828
3) Fort Recovery (4-6 D6 R23) 0.817
4) Anna (9-1 D6 R23) 0.808
5) Minster (9-1 D6 R23) 0.806
6) Rockford Parkway (4-6 D6 R23) 0.799
7) Loudonville (1-9 D6 R22) 0.786
8) Delta (0-10 D6 R23) 0.771
9) Mogadore (9-1 D6 R21) 0.766
10) Johnstown Northridge (2-8 D6 R22) 0.732

Toughest schedules in Division 7
1) Delphos St John's (1-9 D7 R28) 0.915
2) Maria Stein Marion Local (8-2 D7 R28) 0.895
3) New Bremen (7-3 D7 R28) 0.855
4) Hamler Patrick Henry (7-3 D7 R26) 0.829
5) Newark Catholic (7-3 D7 R27) 0.826
6) Canal Winchester Harvest Prep (9-1 D7 R27) 0.811
7) New Washington Buckeye Central (0-10 D7 R26) 0.783
8) Lucas (8-2 D7 R25) 0.767
9) Youngstown Valley Christian School (2-8 D7 R25) 0.743
10) Warren John F Kennedy (7-3 D7 R25) 0.742